PitchMath
Primera División · 2025

O'Higgins 4–2 Ñublense · Primera División

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

O'Higgins won 4–2.

Shots
148
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
2.131.08
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

O'Higgins beat Ñublense 4–2. Recorded in this match (O'Higgins – Ñublense): shots 14–8, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 2.13–1.08, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

O'Higgins's recent record differs from the season

moderate

O'Higgins's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.41 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.41 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots8 shotsO'Higgins 14 shots, Ñublense 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsO'Higgins 5 shots, Ñublense 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.13 xG1.08 xGO'Higgins 2.13 xG, Ñublense 1.08 xG
  • Possession62%38%O'Higgins 62%, Ñublense 38%
  • Corners3 corners0 cornersO'Higgins 3 corners, Ñublense 0 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsO'Higgins 11 fouls, Ñublense 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1O'Higgins
1Draws
3Ñublense
Ñublense — O'Higgins · Primera División0–1
O'Higgins — Ñublense · Primera División1–3
Ñublense — O'Higgins · Primera División2–2
O'Higgins — Ñublense · Primera División1–2
Ñublense — O'Higgins · Primera División2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: O'Higgins favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Ñublense in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

O'Higgins27 matchesÑublense27 matches
1.41 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/270.96 goals/match
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.41 goals/match
1.42 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/261.22 xG/match
15.5 shots/match ▲Shots27/2712 shots/match
4.22 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/273.19 shots/match
52.7% ●Possession27/2751.1%
4.89 corners/match ●Corners27/274.26 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls27/2712.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsO'HigginsÑublense
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2025
Head-to-headO'Higgins — Ñublense
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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