PitchMath
Primera División · 2025

Universidad Católica 2–1 Unión La Calera · Primera División

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Universidad Católica won 2–1.

Shots
137
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.210.45
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Universidad Católica beat Unión La Calera 2–1. Recorded in this match (Universidad Católica – Unión La Calera): shots 13–7, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.21–0.45, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Unión La Calera's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Unión La Calera's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.34 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Unión La Calera have a visible away split

moderate

Unión La Calera's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.64 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.64 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Unión La Calera show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Unión La Calera's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsUniversidad Católica · Unión La Calera10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUniversidad CatólicaUnión La CaleraBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against11.4 shots/match13 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots7 shotsUniversidad Católica 13 shots, Unión La Calera 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsUniversidad Católica 6 shots, Unión La Calera 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.21 xG0.45 xGUniversidad Católica 1.21 xG, Unión La Calera 0.45 xG
  • Possession63%37%Universidad Católica 63%, Unión La Calera 37%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersUniversidad Católica 8 corners, Unión La Calera 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls15 foulsUniversidad Católica 8 fouls, Unión La Calera 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Universidad Católica
3Draws
0Unión La Calera
Unión La Calera — Universidad Católica · Primera División1–1
Universidad Católica — Unión La Calera · Primera División2–0
Unión La Calera — Universidad Católica · Primera División0–0
Unión La Calera — Universidad Católica · Primera División0–3
Universidad Católica — Unión La Calera · Primera División1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Universidad Católica favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Unión La Calera in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Universidad Católica30 matchesUnión La Calera30 matches
1.47 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/300.93 goals/match
0.87 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.3 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/290.99 xG/match
12.4 shots/match ▲Shots30/2910.3 shots/match
4.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/293.07 shots/match
54.3% ●Possession30/2949.5%
4.7 corners/match ●Corners30/294.28 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls29/2911.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUniversidad CatólicaUnión La Calera
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2025
Head-to-headUniversidad Católica — Unión La Calera
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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