PitchMath
Primera División · 2026

Universidad de Concepción 0–1 Audax Italiano · Primera División

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Audax Italiano won 0–1.

Shots
145
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
2.050.84
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Audax Italiano beat Universidad de Concepción 1–0. Recorded in this match (Universidad de Concepción – Audax Italiano): shots 14–5, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 2.05–0.84, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Audax Italiano's recent record differs from the season

weak

Audax Italiano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.2 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots5 shotsUniversidad de Concepción 14 shots, Audax Italiano 5 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotUniversidad de Concepción 7 shots, Audax Italiano 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.05 xG0.84 xGUniversidad de Concepción 2.05 xG, Audax Italiano 0.84 xG
  • Possession66%34%Universidad de Concepción 66%, Audax Italiano 34%
  • Corners9 corners2 cornersUniversidad de Concepción 9 corners, Audax Italiano 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls9 foulsUniversidad de Concepción 15 fouls, Audax Italiano 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Universidad de Concepción
0Draws
1Audax Italiano
Audax Italiano — Universidad de Concepción · Primera División3–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Universidad de Concepción favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Audax Italiano in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Universidad de Concepción15 matchesAudax Italiano15 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.3 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/50.87 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots15/1510.7 shots/match
4.27 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/152.87 shots/match
49.8%Possession15/15● 50.1%
5.33 corners/match ●Corners15/153.73 corners/match
4.25 cards/matchCards4/63.5 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls15/159 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUniversidad de ConcepciónAudax Italiano
CompetitionPrimera División
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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