PitchMath
Segunda División · 2026

Almería 2–1 Burgos Club de Fútbol · Segunda División

2–1Pre-match analysis

Match at a glance

Almería won 2–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: almería's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Almería show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Almería's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAlmería · Burgos Club de Fútbol11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAlmeríaBurgos Club de FútbolBaseline
Shots11 shots/match11 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against13.2 shots/match15.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Almería4-2-3-1
  1. Andrés FernándezG
  2. Álex MuñozD
  3. Federico BoniniD
  4. ChumiD
  5. Daijiro ChirinoD
  6. Mikel VesgaM
  7. Sergio ArribasM
  8. Javier MuñozM
  9. Adrián EmbarbaF
  10. Miguel de la FuenteF
  11. Quim JunyentF
Burgos Club de Fútbol4-4-2
  1. Ander CanteroG
  2. Ignasi VilarrasaD
  3. Grego SierraD
  4. Oier LuengoD
  5. Alberto DadieD
  6. Unai VencedorM
  7. David GonzálezM
  8. Javi LlabrésM
  9. José GrageraM
  10. Jon KarrikaburuF
  11. Álex ForésF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Almería
1Draws
2Burgos Club de Fútbol
Burgos Club de Fútbol — Almería · Segunda División0–0
Almería — Burgos Club de Fútbol · Segunda División1–2
Burgos Club de Fútbol — Almería · Segunda División3–1
Almería — Burgos Club de Fútbol · Segunda División2–0
Burgos Club de Fútbol — Almería · Segunda División0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Almería favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Burgos Club de Fútbol in 0 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Almería5 matchesBurgos Club de Fútbol5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
11 shots/matchShots5/511 shots/match
3.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match
54.6% ●Possession5/551.8%
4 corners/match ●Corners5/53.6 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/517.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness22 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Segunda División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsAlmeríaBurgos Club de Fútbol
CompetitionSegunda División
Head-to-headAlmería — Burgos Club de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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