PitchMath
Saudi Pro League · 2026

Neom SC 4–2 Al-Fateh · Saudi Pro League

Neom SC

WLLWW
4–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Neom SC won 4–2.

Shots
2113
Shots on target
67
Expected goals
2.321.26
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Neom SC beat Al-Fateh 4–2. Recorded in this match (Neom SC – Al-Fateh): shots 21–13, shots on target 6–7, expected goals 2.32–1.26, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Al-Fateh's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Al-Fateh's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.57 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al-Fateh.

5.93 days ▲Rest daysNeom SC · Al-Fateh3.93 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNeom SCAl-FatehBaseline
Rest days5.93 days3.93 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Neom SC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Neom SC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsNeom SC · Al-Fateh11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNeom SCAl-FatehBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against11.4 shots/match16.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots13 shotsNeom SC 21 shots, Al-Fateh 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots7 shotsNeom SC 6 shots, Al-Fateh 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.32 xG1.26 xGNeom SC 2.32 xG, Al-Fateh 1.26 xG
  • Possession63%37%Neom SC 63%, Al-Fateh 37%
  • Corners11 corners3 cornersNeom SC 11 corners, Al-Fateh 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsNeom SC 13 fouls, Al-Fateh 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardNeom SC 2 cards, Al-Fateh 1 card
  • Passes475 passes278 passesNeom SC 475 passes, Al-Fateh 278 passes
  • Pass accuracy91%79.1%Neom SC 91%, Al-Fateh 79.1%
  • Shots inside box15 shots9 shotsNeom SC 15 shots, Al-Fateh 9 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks4 blocksNeom SC 7 blocks, Al-Fateh 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves2 savesNeom SC 5 saves, Al-Fateh 2 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideNeom SC 3 offsides, Al-Fateh 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 6′Khalil Al-AbsiYellow card · Neom SC
  2. 16′Alexandre LacazettePenalty goal · Neom SC
  3. 39′Amadou KonéYellow card · Neom SC
  4. 41′Mourad BatnaGoal · Al-Fateh
  5. 42′Mihai LixandruYellow card · Al-Fateh
  6. Half-time
  7. 51′Amadou KonéGoal · Neom SC
  8. 64′Wilfried KangaGoal · Al-Fateh
  9. 70′Alexandre LacazetteGoal · Neom SC
  10. 79′Valentín VadaGoal · Neom SC
  11. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 65′Neom SC · 1 player changeGiorgos Masouras
  • 76′Neom SC · 2 player changesValentín Vada · Mohannad Abu Taha
  • 81′Al-Fateh · 4 player changesAbdul Rahman Al Khaibari · Saad Al-Shurafa · Fahad Zubaidi · Hossam Essadak
  • 87′Al-Fateh · 1 player changeJefferson Ramos
  • 90′Neom SC · 2 player changesAbbas Sadiq Alhassan · Khalifah Al-Dawsari

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Neom SC
  1. Marcin BułkaG
  2. Malang SarrD
  3. Abdulmalik Al OyayariD
  4. Islam Ahmed HawsawiD
  5. Nathan ZezeD
  6. Khalil Al-AbsiM
  7. Ala'a Al-HejjiM
  8. Amadou KonéM
  9. Muhannad Al SaadM
  10. Haroune CamaraF
  11. Alexandre LacazetteF
Al-Fateh
  1. Adrian ŠemperG
  2. Ziyad AljariD
  3. Mihai LixandruD
  4. Abdulelah Al KhaibariD
  5. Sattam Al TumbuktiD
  6. Ali Al-HassanM
  7. Zaydou YoussoufM
  8. Faisal Al AbdulwahedM
  9. Wilfried KangaF
  10. Lukáš HaraslínF
  11. Mourad BatnaF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Neom SC
1Draws
1Al-Fateh
Al-Fateh — Neom SC · Saudi Pro League2–2
Neom SC — Al-Fateh · Saudi Pro League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Neom SC favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Fateh in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Neom SC7 matchesAl-Fateh7 matches
1.86 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.57 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.57 goals/match
1.27 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.18 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots7/711.9 shots/match
4.43 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 5 shots/match
52.6% ●Possession7/745.3%
4.57 corners/match ●Corners7/74.14 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls7/711.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 20:20 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNeom SCAl-Fateh
CompetitionSaudi Pro League
Head-to-headNeom SC — Al-Fateh
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required