PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2026

CF Estrela Amadora 2–2 Sporting · Primeira Liga

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

CF Estrela Amadora and Sporting drew 2–2.

Shots
915
Shots on target
48
Expected goals
1.012.63
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

CF Estrela Amadora and Sporting drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (CF Estrela Amadora – Sporting): shots 9–15, shots on target 4–8, expected goals 1.01–2.63, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots15 shotsCF Estrela Amadora 9 shots, Sporting 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots8 shotsCF Estrela Amadora 4 shots, Sporting 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.01 xG2.63 xGCF Estrela Amadora 1.01 xG, Sporting 2.63 xG
  • Possession44%56%CF Estrela Amadora 44%, Sporting 56%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersCF Estrela Amadora 5 corners, Sporting 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls14 foulsCF Estrela Amadora 13 fouls, Sporting 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsCF Estrela Amadora 2 cards, Sporting 2 cards
  • Passes350 passes444 passesCF Estrela Amadora 350 passes, Sporting 444 passes
  • Pass accuracy79.4%88.3%CF Estrela Amadora 79.4%, Sporting 88.3%
  • Shots inside box5 shots11 shotsCF Estrela Amadora 5 shots, Sporting 11 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks2 blocksCF Estrela Amadora 2 blocks, Sporting 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves2 savesCF Estrela Amadora 6 saves, Sporting 2 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesCF Estrela Amadora 1 offside, Sporting 2 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ianis Stoica · CF Estrela Amadora · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlávio Gonçalves · Sporting · 11′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFlávio Gonçalves · Sporting · 51′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGeny Catamo · Sporting · 58′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBernardo Schappo · CF Estrela Amadora · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Zalazar · Sporting · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGeny Catamo · Sporting · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFotis Ioannidis · Sporting · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Zalazar · Sporting · 44′ · 0.05 xG · on targetEddy Doué · CF Estrela Amadora · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Antonetti · CF Estrela Amadora · 72′ · 0.05 xG · goalBénito · CF Estrela Amadora · 84′ · 0.05 xG · goalLovro Zvonarek · CF Estrela Amadora · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFlávio Gonçalves · Sporting · 41′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Zalazar · Sporting · 46′ · 0.10 xG · goalFotis Ioannidis · Sporting · 6′ · 0.12 xG · on targetFotis Ioannidis · Sporting · 32′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedLovro Zvonarek · CF Estrela Amadora · 75′ · 0.15 xG · on targetAbraham Marcus · CF Estrela Amadora · 38′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedFotis Ioannidis · Sporting · 18′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedFotis Ioannidis · Sporting · 16′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedAbraham Marcus · CF Estrela Amadora · 86′ · 0.39 xG · on targetFotis Ioannidis · Sporting · 37′ · 0.41 xG · on targetFotis Ioannidis · Sporting · 59′ · 1.00 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

CF Estrela Amadora: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.01 xG. Sporting: 15 shots, 8 on target, 2.67 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Leandro Antonetti · CF Estrela Amadora · 72′Bénito · CF Estrela Amadora · 84′Rodrigo Zalazar · Sporting · 46′Fotis Ioannidis · Sporting · 59′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: CF Estrela Amadora 1.01 xG · Sporting 2.67 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0CF Estrela Amadora
0Draws
5Sporting
CF Estrela Amadora — Sporting · Primeira Liga0–1
Sporting — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga4–0
CF Estrela Amadora — Sporting · Primeira Liga0–3
Sporting — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga5–1
CF Estrela Amadora — Sporting · Primeira Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • CF Estrela Amadora1 matches
  • Sporting1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

CF Estrela Amadora

Competition
Primeira Liga
Season
2025/26
Sample
36 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
28 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.14 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.56 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.22 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.57 xG/match
  • Shots11 shots/match
  • Shots allowed13.3 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.69 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.39 shots/match
  • Possession47.4%
  • Corners3.56 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.81 corners/match
  • Cards2.81 cards/match
  • Fouls14.2 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency28%
  • Scoring frequency56%

Sporting

Competition
Primeira Liga
Season
2025/26
Sample
36 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
28 May 2026
  • Goals scored2.67 goals/match
  • Goals allowed0.69 goals/match
  • Expected goals2.17 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed0.81 xG/match
  • Shots17.8 shots/match
  • Shots allowed8.78 shots/match
  • Shots on target7.03 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed3 shots/match
  • Possession62.4%
  • Corners6.94 corners/match
  • Corners allowed2.92 corners/match
  • Cards2.42 cards/match
  • Fouls12.1 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency44%
  • Scoring frequency100%

How competition percentiles work

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCF Estrela AmadoraSporting
CompetitionPrimeira Liga
Head-to-headCF Estrela Amadora — Sporting
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this