Primeira Liga · 2026Full timeFull-time analysis
32Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSportingVitória SC
Shots5 shots12 shots
Shots on target3 shots3 shots
Expected goals1.12 xG1.12 xG
Possession56% 44%
Corners5 corners 1 corner
Fouls12 fouls21 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Gustavo Silva · Vitória SC · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlávio Gonçalves · Sporting · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSergi Altimira · Sporting · 41′ · 0.03 xG · goalGustavo Silva · Vitória SC · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamu · Vitória SC · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Nogueira · Vitória SC · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGeny Catamo · Sporting · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSamu · Vitória SC · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Silva · Vitória SC · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSamu · Vitória SC · 40′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSamu · Vitória SC · 66′ · 0.12 xG · goalAlioune Ndoye · Vitória SC · 55′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAlioune Ndoye · Vitória SC · 48′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedSamu · Vitória SC · 45′ · 0.16 xG · on targetAlioune Ndoye · Vitória SC · 68′ · 0.20 xG · goalFotis Ioannidis · Sporting · 22′ · 0.35 xG · goalFlávio Gonçalves · Sporting · 9′ · 0.62 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sporting: 5 shots, 3 on target, 1.08 xG. Vitória SC: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Flávio Gonçalves · Sporting · 9′Fotis Ioannidis · Sporting · 22′Sergi Altimira · Sporting · 41′Samu · Vitória SC · 66′Alioune Ndoye · Vitória SC · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sporting 1.08 xG · Vitória SC 1.13 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Sporting beat Vitória SC 3–2. Recorded in this match (Sporting – Vitória SC): shots 5–12, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.12–1.12, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

Last 5 meetings

4Sporting
1Draws
0Vitória SC
SportingVitória SC · Primeira Liga51
Vitória SCSporting · Primeira Liga14
SportingVitória SC · Primeira Liga20
Vitória SCSporting · Primeira Liga44
SportingVitória SC · Primeira Liga30

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Sporting1 matches
  • Vitória SC1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

Sporting

Competition
Primeira Liga
Season
2025/26
Sample
36 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
28 May 2026
  • Goals scored2.67 goals/match
  • Goals allowed0.69 goals/match
  • Expected goals2.17 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed0.81 xG/match
  • Shots17.8 shots/match
  • Shots allowed8.78 shots/match
  • Shots on target7.03 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed3 shots/match
  • Possession62.4%
  • Corners6.94 corners/match
  • Corners allowed2.92 corners/match
  • Cards2.42 cards/match
  • Fouls12.1 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency44%
  • Scoring frequency100%

Vitória SC

Competition
Primeira Liga
Season
2025/26
Sample
36 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
28 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.22 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.44 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.25 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.36 xG/match
  • Shots13.3 shots/match
  • Shots allowed11.3 shots/match
  • Shots on target4 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.5 shots/match
  • Possession51.5%
  • Corners4.5 corners/match
  • Corners allowed3.92 corners/match
  • Cards2.56 cards/match
  • Fouls14.3 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency31%
  • Scoring frequency67%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 14 Aug 2026, 23:15 UTC · analysis-v4