Primeira Liga · 2026

FC Alverca 2–2 CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

FC Alverca and CF Estrela Amadora drew 2–2.

Shots
1410
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
1.751.29
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Alverca and CF Estrela Amadora drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (FC Alverca – CF Estrela Amadora): shots 14–10, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 1.75–1.29, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots10 shotsFC Alverca 14 shots, CF Estrela Amadora 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsFC Alverca 4 shots, CF Estrela Amadora 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.75 xG1.29 xGFC Alverca 1.75 xG, CF Estrela Amadora 1.29 xG
  • Possession46%54%FC Alverca 46%, CF Estrela Amadora 54%
  • Corners2 corners0 cornersFC Alverca 2 corners, CF Estrela Amadora 0 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsFC Alverca 10 fouls, CF Estrela Amadora 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsFC Alverca 2 cards, CF Estrela Amadora 4 cards
  • Passes331 passes397 passesFC Alverca 331 passes, CF Estrela Amadora 397 passes
  • Pass accuracy81%84.1%FC Alverca 81%, CF Estrela Amadora 84.1%
  • Shots inside box10 shots8 shotsFC Alverca 10 shots, CF Estrela Amadora 8 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block0 blocksFC Alverca 1 block, CF Estrela Amadora 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves2 savesFC Alverca 5 saves, CF Estrela Amadora 2 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideFC Alverca 2 offsides, CF Estrela Amadora 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ianis Stoica · CF Estrela Amadora · 38′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNabil Touaizi · FC Alverca · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSteven Baseya · FC Alverca · 3′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDavy Gui · FC Alverca · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChiquinho · FC Alverca · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBénito · CF Estrela Amadora · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarco Essimi · FC Alverca · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNabil Touaizi · FC Alverca · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFigueiredo · FC Alverca · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVivaldo · FC Alverca · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChiquinho · FC Alverca · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVivaldo · FC Alverca · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Antonetti · CF Estrela Amadora · 56′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAbraham Marcus · CF Estrela Amadora · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetNabil Touaizi · FC Alverca · 11′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLeandro Antonetti · CF Estrela Amadora · 41′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAbraham Marcus · CF Estrela Amadora · 69′ · 0.11 xG · goalLeandro Antonetti · CF Estrela Amadora · 39′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Antonetti · CF Estrela Amadora · 51′ · 0.13 xG · goalIan Luccas · FC Alverca · 58′ · 0.22 xG · goalVivaldo · FC Alverca · 11′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedRobinho · CF Estrela Amadora · 21′ · 0.42 xG · on targetLeandro Antonetti · CF Estrela Amadora · 21′ · 0.45 xG · off target or blockedVivaldo · FC Alverca · 62′ · 0.74 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Alverca: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.72 xG. CF Estrela Amadora: 10 shots, 7 on target, 1.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Ian Luccas · FC Alverca · 58′Vivaldo · FC Alverca · 62′Leandro Antonetti · CF Estrela Amadora · 51′Abraham Marcus · CF Estrela Amadora · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Alverca 1.72 xG · CF Estrela Amadora 1.48 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Alverca
2Draws
0CF Estrela Amadora
FC Alverca — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga1–1
CF Estrela Amadora — FC Alverca · Primeira Liga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • FC Alverca1 matches
  • CF Estrela Amadora1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

FC Alverca

Competition
Primeira Liga
Season
2025/26
Sample
36 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
28 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.06 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.47 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.2 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.24 xG/match
  • Shots9.86 shots/match
  • Shots allowed13.3 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.53 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.28 shots/match
  • Possession45.7%
  • Corners4.47 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.28 corners/match
  • Cards2.6 cards/match
  • Fouls12.2 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency19%
  • Scoring frequency69%

CF Estrela Amadora

Competition
Primeira Liga
Season
2025/26
Sample
36 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
28 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.14 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.56 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.22 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.57 xG/match
  • Shots11 shots/match
  • Shots allowed13.3 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.69 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.39 shots/match
  • Possession47.4%
  • Corners3.56 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.81 corners/match
  • Cards2.81 cards/match
  • Fouls14.2 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency28%
  • Scoring frequency56%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4