This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
This match
Match statistics
| Metric | FC Alverca | CF Estrela Amadora |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 14 shots ▲ | 10 shots |
| Shots on target | 4 shots | 7 shots ▲ |
| Expected goals | 1.75 xG ▲ | 1.29 xG |
| Possession | 46% | 54% ● |
| Corners | 2 corners ● | 0 corners |
| Fouls | 10 fouls | 12 fouls |
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
FC Alverca: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.72 xG. CF Estrela Amadora: 10 shots, 7 on target, 1.48 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Alverca 1.72 xG · CF Estrela Amadora 1.48 xG.
Full time
What the match recorded
FC Alverca and CF Estrela Amadora drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (FC Alverca – CF Estrela Amadora): shots 14–10, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 1.75–1.29, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.
Last 5 meetings
Season-opening preview
Current-season evidence is still building.
This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.
1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade
Current season so far
Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.
- FC Alverca1 matches
- CF Estrela Amadora1 matches
Previous-season context
Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.
Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.
FC Alverca
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 36 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 28 May 2026
- Goals scored1.06 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.47 goals/match
- Expected goals1.2 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.24 xG/match
- Shots9.86 shots/match
- Shots allowed13.3 shots/match
- Shots on target3.53 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4.28 shots/match
- Possession45.7%
- Corners4.47 corners/match
- Corners allowed4.28 corners/match
- Cards2.6 cards/match
- Fouls12.2 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency19%
- Scoring frequency69%
CF Estrela Amadora
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 36 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 28 May 2026
- Goals scored1.14 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.56 goals/match
- Expected goals1.22 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.57 xG/match
- Shots11 shots/match
- Shots allowed13.3 shots/match
- Shots on target3.69 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4.39 shots/match
- Possession47.4%
- Corners3.56 corners/match
- Corners allowed5.81 corners/match
- Cards2.81 cards/match
- Fouls14.2 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency28%
- Scoring frequency56%
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
FC Alverca
Sporting
Sporting Braga
Académico Viseu FC
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
FC Porto