PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2026

Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2–0 RAAL La Louvière · Belgian Pro League

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Oud-Heverlee Leuven won 2–0.

Shots
107
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
0.860.47
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Oud-Heverlee Leuven beat RAAL La Louvière 2–0. Recorded in this match (Oud-Heverlee Leuven – RAAL La Louvière): shots 10–7, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 0.86–0.47, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RAAL La Louvière have a visible away split

weak

RAAL La Louvière's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.5 shots/match10.9 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Oud-Heverlee Leuven have recorded the higher season possession share.

49% ●PossessionOud-Heverlee Leuven · RAAL La Louvière37.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOud-Heverlee LeuvenRAAL La LouvièreBaseline
Possession49%37.1%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots7 shotsOud-Heverlee Leuven 10 shots, RAAL La Louvière 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsOud-Heverlee Leuven 4 shots, RAAL La Louvière 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.86 xG0.47 xGOud-Heverlee Leuven 0.86 xG, RAAL La Louvière 0.47 xG
  • Possession47%53%Oud-Heverlee Leuven 47%, RAAL La Louvière 53%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersOud-Heverlee Leuven 3 corners, RAAL La Louvière 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls15 foulsOud-Heverlee Leuven 11 fouls, RAAL La Louvière 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsOud-Heverlee Leuven 3 cards, RAAL La Louvière 2 cards
  • Passes435 passes489 passesOud-Heverlee Leuven 435 passes, RAAL La Louvière 489 passes
  • Pass accuracy78.9%82.6%Oud-Heverlee Leuven 78.9%, RAAL La Louvière 82.6%
  • Shots inside box9 shots4 shotsOud-Heverlee Leuven 9 shots, RAAL La Louvière 4 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks4 blocksOud-Heverlee Leuven 3 blocks, RAAL La Louvière 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves2 savesOud-Heverlee Leuven 2 saves, RAAL La Louvière 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesOud-Heverlee Leuven 0 offsides, RAAL La Louvière 2 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Noë Dussenne · Oud-Heverlee Leuven · 13′ · 0.01 xG · on targetZsombor Gruber · RAAL La Louvière · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBirger Verstraete · Oud-Heverlee Leuven · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWagane Faye · RAAL La Louvière · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMustapha Isah · RAAL La Louvière · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedZsombor Gruber · RAAL La Louvière · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWouter George · Oud-Heverlee Leuven · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedŁukasz Łakomy · Oud-Heverlee Leuven · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedZsombor Gruber · RAAL La Louvière · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRobin Mirisola · Oud-Heverlee Leuven · 21′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Balikwisha · Oud-Heverlee Leuven · 89′ · 0.08 xG · goalAbdoul Karim Traoré · Oud-Heverlee Leuven · 31′ · 0.10 xG · on targetRobin Mirisola · Oud-Heverlee Leuven · 62′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Nkoa · RAAL La Louvière · 66′ · 0.16 xG · on targetPatrick Nkoa · RAAL La Louvière · 67′ · 0.19 xG · on targetRobin Mirisola · Oud-Heverlee Leuven · 73′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedWouter George · Oud-Heverlee Leuven · 32′ · 0.21 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Oud-Heverlee Leuven: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.87 xG. RAAL La Louvière: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Wouter George · Oud-Heverlee Leuven · 32′William Balikwisha · Oud-Heverlee Leuven · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.87 xG · RAAL La Louvière 0.48 xG.

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
  1. Dani van den HeuvelG
  2. Noë DussenneD
  3. Jamie LawrenceD
  4. Óscar GilD
  5. Roggerio NyakossiD
  6. Davis OpokuD
  7. Birger VerstraeteM
  8. Wouter GeorgeM
  9. Siebe SchrijversF
  10. Abdoul Karim TraoréF
  11. Robin MirisolaF
RAAL La Louvière
  1. Marcos Hernán PeanoG
  2. Wagane FayeD
  3. Shaquil DelosD
  4. Marius CourcoulD
  5. Patrick NkoaD
  6. Yllan OkouD
  7. Mame WadeM
  8. Ismaila CoulibalyM
  9. Anas TajaouartM
  10. Mátyás KovácsF
  11. Mustapha IsahF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1Draws
1RAAL La Louvière
RAAL La Louvière — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League0–0
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — RAAL La Louvière · Belgian Pro League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Oud-Heverlee Leuven favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · RAAL La Louvière in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Oud-Heverlee Leuven7 matchesRAAL La Louvière7 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1 goal/match
1.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.21 xG/match
13.1 shots/match ▲Shots7/710.9 shots/match
2.57 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 3.71 shots/match
49% ●Possession7/737.1%
3.29 corners/match ●Corners7/72.71 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls7/712 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOud-Heverlee LeuvenRAAL La Louvière
CompetitionBelgian Pro League
Head-to-headOud-Heverlee Leuven — RAAL La Louvière
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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