PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2026

Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1–1 Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Oud-Heverlee Leuven and Cercle Brugge drew 1–1.

Shots
1013
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.921.6
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Oud-Heverlee Leuven and Cercle Brugge drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Oud-Heverlee Leuven – Cercle Brugge): shots 10–13, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.92–1.6, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Oud-Heverlee Leuven's recent record differs from the season

weak

Oud-Heverlee Leuven's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.5 goals/match1.9 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Oud-Heverlee Leuven have a visible home split

weak

Oud-Heverlee Leuven's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Oud-Heverlee Leuven.

6.06 days ▲Rest daysOud-Heverlee Leuven · Cercle Brugge6.3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricOud-Heverlee LeuvenCercle BruggeBaseline
Rest days6.06 days6.3 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots13 shotsOud-Heverlee Leuven 10 shots, Cercle Brugge 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsOud-Heverlee Leuven 2 shots, Cercle Brugge 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.92 xG1.6 xGOud-Heverlee Leuven 0.92 xG, Cercle Brugge 1.6 xG
  • Possession43%57%Oud-Heverlee Leuven 43%, Cercle Brugge 57%
  • Corners2 corners11 cornersOud-Heverlee Leuven 2 corners, Cercle Brugge 11 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls18 foulsOud-Heverlee Leuven 17 fouls, Cercle Brugge 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsOud-Heverlee Leuven 3 cards, Cercle Brugge 3 cards
  • Passes335 passes429 passesOud-Heverlee Leuven 335 passes, Cercle Brugge 429 passes
  • Pass accuracy69.6%73.7%Oud-Heverlee Leuven 69.6%, Cercle Brugge 73.7%
  • Shots inside box6 shots7 shotsOud-Heverlee Leuven 6 shots, Cercle Brugge 7 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks2 blocksOud-Heverlee Leuven 3 blocks, Cercle Brugge 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves1 saveOud-Heverlee Leuven 2 saves, Cercle Brugge 1 save
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesOud-Heverlee Leuven 0 offsides, Cercle Brugge 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 25′Davis OpokuGoal · Oud-Heverlee Leuven
  2. Half-time
  3. 48′Siebe SchrijversYellow card · Oud-Heverlee Leuven
  4. 66′Valy KonatéYellow card · Cercle Brugge
  5. 71′Emmanuel KakouYellow card · Cercle Brugge
  6. 81′Lukas MondeleYellow card · Cercle Brugge
  7. 90′Kyan VaesenYellow card · Oud-Heverlee Leuven
  8. 90′Krys KouassiGoal · Cercle Brugge
  9. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Cercle Brugge · 1 player changeTunde Akinsola
  • 62′Cercle Brugge · 1 player changeViggo Martens
  • 63′Cercle Brugge · 1 player changeKrys Kouassi
  • 70′Oud-Heverlee Leuven · 2 player changesShin Yamada · William Balikwisha
  • 77′Cercle Brugge · 1 player changeLucas Michal
  • 78′Cercle Brugge · 1 player changeAbdoul Kader Ouattara
  • 90′Oud-Heverlee Leuven · 1 player changeKyan Vaesen

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
  1. Dani van den HeuvelG
  2. Noë DussenneD
  3. Jamie LawrenceD
  4. Óscar GilD
  5. Roggerio NyakossiD
  6. Davis OpokuD
  7. Birger VerstraeteM
  8. Wouter GeorgeM
  9. Siebe SchrijversF
  10. Abdoul Karim TraoréF
  11. Robin MirisolaF
Cercle Brugge
  1. Gaëtan CouckeG
  2. Emmanuel KakouD
  3. Erick NunesD
  4. Valy KonatéD
  5. Geoffrey KondoD
  6. Royer CaicedoD
  7. Ibrahim DiakitéM
  8. Lukas MondeleM
  9. Steve NgouraF
  10. Dante VanzeirF
  11. Gary MagneeF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1Draws
3Cercle Brugge
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League0–2
Cercle Brugge — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League1–2
Cercle Brugge — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League1–0
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League1–1
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Oud-Heverlee Leuven favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Cercle Brugge in 10 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Oud-Heverlee Leuven6 matchesCercle Brugge6 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1 goal/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.83 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.62 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 16.2 shots/match
2.33 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 3.67 shots/match
49.3% ●Possession6/646.5%
3.33 corners/matchCorners6/6● 8.83 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls6/612.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOud-Heverlee LeuvenCercle Brugge
CompetitionBelgian Pro League
Head-to-headOud-Heverlee Leuven — Cercle Brugge
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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