PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2026

RC Sporting Charleroi 3–2 Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League

3–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

RC Sporting Charleroi won 3–2.

Shots
147
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
2.042.08
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

RC Sporting Charleroi beat Cercle Brugge 3–2. Recorded in this match (RC Sporting Charleroi – Cercle Brugge): shots 14–7, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 2.04–2.08, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cercle Brugge's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cercle Brugge's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.75 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cercle Brugge have a visible away split

weak

Cercle Brugge's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match14.9 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

RC Sporting Charleroi have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.7% ●PossessionRC Sporting Charleroi · Cercle Brugge45.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRC Sporting CharleroiCercle BruggeBaseline
Possession56.7%45.1%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots7 shotsRC Sporting Charleroi 14 shots, Cercle Brugge 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsRC Sporting Charleroi 7 shots, Cercle Brugge 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.04 xG2.08 xGRC Sporting Charleroi 2.04 xG, Cercle Brugge 2.08 xG
  • Possession63%37%RC Sporting Charleroi 63%, Cercle Brugge 37%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersRC Sporting Charleroi 3 corners, Cercle Brugge 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls14 foulsRC Sporting Charleroi 15 fouls, Cercle Brugge 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardRC Sporting Charleroi 2 cards, Cercle Brugge 1 card
  • Passes572 passes322 passesRC Sporting Charleroi 572 passes, Cercle Brugge 322 passes
  • Pass accuracy85.1%76.1%RC Sporting Charleroi 85.1%, Cercle Brugge 76.1%
  • Shots inside box9 shots7 shotsRC Sporting Charleroi 9 shots, Cercle Brugge 7 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks0 blocksRC Sporting Charleroi 3 blocks, Cercle Brugge 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves4 savesRC Sporting Charleroi 4 saves, Cercle Brugge 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideRC Sporting Charleroi 1 offside, Cercle Brugge 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 15′Freddy MbembaGoal · RC Sporting Charleroi
  2. 25′Aurélien ScheidlerGoal · RC Sporting Charleroi
  3. 30′Dante VanzeirGoal · Cercle Brugge
  4. Half-time
  5. 61′Aurélien ScheidlerPenalty goal · RC Sporting Charleroi
  6. 73′Steve NgouraPenalty goal · Cercle Brugge
  7. 82′Yassine KhalifiYellow card · RC Sporting Charleroi
  8. 82′Ibrahim DiakitéYellow card · Cercle Brugge
  9. 90′Aiham OusouYellow card · RC Sporting Charleroi
  10. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 34′Cercle Brugge · 1 player changeViggo Martens
  • 58′Cercle Brugge · 2 player changesSteve Ngoura · Tunde Akinsola
  • 62′RC Sporting Charleroi · 1 player changeGaku Nawata
  • 74′RC Sporting Charleroi · 2 player changesTriston Rowe · Isaac Ismaël Cissé
  • 81′Cercle Brugge · 2 player changesHannes Van Der Bruggen · Lucas Michal
  • 81′RC Sporting Charleroi · 2 player changesAdama Bojang · Massamba Sow

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

RC Sporting Charleroi
  1. Mohamed KonéG
  2. Kevin Van Den KerkhofD
  3. Aiham OusouD
  4. Mardochee NzitaD
  5. Cheick KeitaD
  6. Amine BoukamirM
  7. Jakob Napoleon RomsaasM
  8. Yassine KhalifiM
  9. Patrick PflückeF
  10. Freddy MbembaF
  11. Aurélien ScheidlerF
Cercle Brugge
  1. Gaëtan CouckeG
  2. Ibrahim DiakitéD
  3. Erick NunesD
  4. Valy KonatéD
  5. Geoffrey KondoD
  6. Royer CaicedoD
  7. Lazare AmaniM
  8. Lukas MondeleM
  9. Dante VanzeirF
  10. Gary MagneeF
  11. Krys KouassiF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1RC Sporting Charleroi
2Draws
2Cercle Brugge
RC Sporting Charleroi — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League3–4
Cercle Brugge — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League2–3
RC Sporting Charleroi — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League1–1
Cercle Brugge — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League2–0
RC Sporting Charleroi — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Sporting Charleroi favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Cercle Brugge in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Sporting Charleroi7 matchesCercle Brugge7 matches
2.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.14 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed7/72 goals/match
1.9 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.69 xG/match
17.9 shots/match ▲Shots7/714.9 shots/match
5.86 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/74 shots/match
56.7% ●Possession7/745.1%
5.29 corners/matchCorners7/7● 7.86 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls7/713 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC Sporting CharleroiCercle Brugge
CompetitionBelgian Pro League
Head-to-headRC Sporting Charleroi — Cercle Brugge
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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