PitchMath
Segunda División · 2026

CE Sabadell 1–0 Almería · Segunda División

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

CE Sabadell won 1–0.

Shots
1411
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.920.67
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

CE Sabadell beat Almería 1–0. Recorded in this match (CE Sabadell – Almería): shots 14–11, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.92–0.67, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Almería have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.3%PossessionCE Sabadell · Almería● 58%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCE SabadellAlmeríaBaseline
Possession39.3%58%48%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

CE Sabadell show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

CE Sabadell's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsCE Sabadell · Almería11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCE SabadellAlmeríaBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match11.7 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against9 shots/match13.3 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots11 shotsCE Sabadell 14 shots, Almería 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsCE Sabadell 4 shots, Almería 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.92 xG0.67 xGCE Sabadell 1.92 xG, Almería 0.67 xG
  • Possession44%56%CE Sabadell 44%, Almería 56%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersCE Sabadell 4 corners, Almería 3 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls8 foulsCE Sabadell 17 fouls, Almería 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards2 cardsCE Sabadell 5 cards, Almería 2 cards
  • Passes337 passes429 passesCE Sabadell 337 passes, Almería 429 passes
  • Pass accuracy62%75.5%CE Sabadell 62%, Almería 75.5%
  • Shots inside box11 shots8 shotsCE Sabadell 11 shots, Almería 8 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks2 blocksCE Sabadell 3 blocks, Almería 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesCE Sabadell 2 saves, Almería 3 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides0 offsidesCE Sabadell 3 offsides, Almería 0 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CE Sabadell favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Almería in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CE Sabadell3 matchesAlmería3 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 1 goal/match
0 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots3/311.7 shots/match
2.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 2.67 shots/match
39.3%Possession3/3● 58%
5 corners/matchCorners3/3● 5.67 corners/match
16.7 fouls/matchFouls3/37.67 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Segunda División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsCE SabadellAlmería
CompetitionSegunda División
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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