PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Inter 5–3 Udinese · Serie A

5–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Inter won 5–3.

Shots
276
Shots on target
125
Expected goals
3.110.9
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Udinese 5–3. Recorded in this match (Inter – Udinese): shots 27–6, shots on target 12–5, expected goals 3.11–0.9, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

25 shots/match ▲ShotsInter · Udinese11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterUdineseBaseline
Shots25 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against9.75 shots/match20 shots/match15.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

66% ●PossessionInter · Udinese41%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 25.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricInterUdineseBaseline
Possession66%41%48%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots27 shots6 shotsInter 27 shots, Udinese 6 shots
  • Shots on target12 shots5 shotsInter 12 shots, Udinese 5 shots
  • Expected goals3.11 xG0.9 xGInter 3.11 xG, Udinese 0.9 xG
  • Possession66%34%Inter 66%, Udinese 34%
  • Corners10 corners1 cornerInter 10 corners, Udinese 1 corner
  • Fouls9 fouls9 foulsInter 9 fouls, Udinese 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardInter 1 card, Udinese 1 card
  • Passes639 passes330 passesInter 639 passes, Udinese 330 passes
  • Pass accuracy92.6%82.4%Inter 92.6%, Udinese 82.4%
  • Shots inside box17 shots5 shotsInter 17 shots, Udinese 5 shots
  • Blocked shots10 blocks1 blockInter 10 blocks, Udinese 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves7 savesInter 2 saves, Udinese 7 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideInter 3 offsides, Udinese 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 9′James AbankwahGoal · Udinese
  2. 16′Jürgen EkkelenkampGoal · Udinese
  3. 26′Carlos AugustoGoal · Inter
  4. 35′Nicolò BarellaGoal · Inter
  5. 45′Keinan DavisYellow card · Udinese
  6. Half-time
  7. 57′Marcus ThuramGoal · Inter
  8. 60′Henrikh MkhitaryanYellow card · Inter
  9. 67′Pio EspositoGoal · Inter
  10. 79′Ange-Yoan BonnyGoal · Inter
  11. 90′Idrissa GueyeGoal · Udinese
  12. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 61′Udinese · 1 player changeIdrissa Gueye
  • 62′Inter · 2 player changesCurtis Jones · Benjamin Pavard
  • 70′Inter · 2 player changesAnge-Yoan Bonny · Federico Dimarco
  • 73′Udinese · 1 player changeGiorgi Chakvetadze
  • 74′Udinese · 1 player changeNicolò Bertola
  • 80′Udinese · 2 player changesVakoun Issouf Bayo · Sandi Lovrić
  • 82′Inter · 1 player changeAleksandar Stanković

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Inter3-5-2
  1. Josep MartínezG
  2. John StonesD
  3. Andy DioufD
  4. Manuel AkanjiD
  5. Carlos AugustoD
  6. Alessandro BastoniD
  7. Piotr ZielińskiM
  8. Hakan ÇalhanoğluM
  9. Nicolò BarellaM
  10. Lautaro MartínezF
  11. Pio EspositoF
Udinese3-4-2-1
  1. Maduka OkoyeG
  2. Hassane KamaraD
  3. James AbankwahD
  4. Mërgim VojvodaD
  5. Christian KabaseleD
  6. Enzo EbosseD
  7. Jesper KarlströmM
  8. Lennon MillerM
  9. Keinan DavisF
  10. Jürgen EkkelenkampF
  11. Unai GómezF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Inter
0Draws
1Udinese
Udinese — Inter · Serie A0–1
Inter — Udinese · Serie A1–2
Inter — Udinese · Serie A2–1
Udinese — Inter · Serie A2–3
Udinese — Inter · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Udinese in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter4 matchesUdinese4 matches
3.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/42 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/42.5 goals/match
2.82 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.17 xG/match
25 shots/match ▲Shots4/411.3 shots/match
8 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/44.75 shots/match
66% ●Possession4/441%
7.25 corners/match ●Corners4/41.75 corners/match
6.5 fouls/matchFouls4/411.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 14 Sept 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInterUdinese
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headInter — Udinese
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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