PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025

RC Sporting Charleroi 3–1 FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Sporting Charleroi won 3–1.

Shots
119
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.830.6
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

RC Sporting Charleroi beat FCV Dender 3–1. Recorded in this match (RC Sporting Charleroi – FCV Dender): shots 11–9, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.83–0.6, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FCV Dender show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FCV Dender's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsRC Sporting Charleroi · FCV Dender7.83 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRC Sporting CharleroiFCV DenderBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match7.83 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

FCV Dender's recent record differs from the season

weak

FCV Dender's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.33 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RC Sporting Charleroi have a visible home split

weak

RC Sporting Charleroi's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.75 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.75 shots/match11.5 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots9 shotsRC Sporting Charleroi 11 shots, FCV Dender 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsRC Sporting Charleroi 4 shots, FCV Dender 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.83 xG0.6 xGRC Sporting Charleroi 1.83 xG, FCV Dender 0.6 xG
  • Possession50%50%RC Sporting Charleroi 50%, FCV Dender 50%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersRC Sporting Charleroi 5 corners, FCV Dender 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsRC Sporting Charleroi 12 fouls, FCV Dender 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kobe Cools · FCV Dender · 81′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJules Gaudin · RC Sporting Charleroi · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNathan Rodes · FCV Dender · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFabio Ferraro · FCV Dender · 61′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFabio Ferraro · FCV Dender · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedParfait Guiagon · RC Sporting Charleroi · 1′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJordan Attah Kadiri · FCV Dender · 61′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMardochee Nzita · RC Sporting Charleroi · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDesmond Acquah · FCV Dender · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJordan Attah Kadiri · FCV Dender · 76′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJordan Attah Kadiri · FCV Dender · 67′ · 0.07 xG · goalAntoine Bernier · RC Sporting Charleroi · 50′ · 0.10 xG · goalAntoine Colassin · RC Sporting Charleroi · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJakob Napoleon Romsaas · RC Sporting Charleroi · 20′ · 0.12 xG · on targetEtienne Camara · RC Sporting Charleroi · 17′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Colassin · RC Sporting Charleroi · 82′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedParfait Guiagon · RC Sporting Charleroi · 88′ · 0.16 xG · goalAurélien Scheidler · RC Sporting Charleroi · 17′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedNoah Mbamba · FCV Dender · 61′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedParfait Guiagon · RC Sporting Charleroi · 5′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Sporting Charleroi: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.91 xG. FCV Dender: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Parfait Guiagon · RC Sporting Charleroi · 5′Antoine Bernier · RC Sporting Charleroi · 50′Parfait Guiagon · RC Sporting Charleroi · 88′Jordan Attah Kadiri · FCV Dender · 67′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Sporting Charleroi 1.91 xG · FCV Dender 0.55 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2RC Sporting Charleroi
0Draws
2FCV Dender
RC Sporting Charleroi — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League4–1
FCV Dender — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League2–1
RC Sporting Charleroi — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League5–0
FCV Dender — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Sporting Charleroi favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · FCV Dender in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Sporting Charleroi6 matchesFCV Dender6 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.33 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.5 goals/match
1.12 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/60.71 xG/match
11.5 shots/match ▲Shots6/67.83 shots/match
4.17 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/62.83 shots/match
52.2% ●Possession6/651.2%
4.33 corners/match ●Corners6/62.67 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls6/610.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC Sporting CharleroiFCV Dender
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headRC Sporting Charleroi — FCV Dender
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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