PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Achter de Kazerne

KV Mechelen 3–2 RAAL La Louvière · Belgian Pro League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KV Mechelen won 3–2.

Shots
1312
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
2.060.78
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

KV Mechelen beat RAAL La Louvière 3–2. Recorded in this match (KV Mechelen – RAAL La Louvière): shots 13–12, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 2.06–0.78, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RAAL La Louvière's recent record differs from the season

weak

RAAL La Louvière's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

KV Mechelen have recorded the higher season possession share.

49% ●PossessionKV Mechelen · RAAL La Louvière34.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricKV MechelenRAAL La LouvièreBaseline
Possession49%34.2%51.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots12 shotsKV Mechelen 13 shots, RAAL La Louvière 12 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsKV Mechelen 8 shots, RAAL La Louvière 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.06 xG0.78 xGKV Mechelen 2.06 xG, RAAL La Louvière 0.78 xG
  • Possession66%34%KV Mechelen 66%, RAAL La Louvière 34%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersKV Mechelen 4 corners, RAAL La Louvière 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls9 foulsKV Mechelen 13 fouls, RAAL La Louvière 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsKV Mechelen 1 card, RAAL La Louvière 0 cards

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KV Mechelen favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · RAAL La Louvière in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KV Mechelen6 matchesRAAL La Louvière6 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.67 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.33 goals/match
1.53 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/60.71 xG/match
10.8 shots/match ▲Shots6/69.67 shots/match
4.83 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/62.33 shots/match
49% ●Possession6/634.2%
5.33 corners/match ●Corners6/64.67 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards6/61.67 cards/match
9.33 fouls/matchFouls6/611.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKV MechelenRAAL La Louvière
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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