PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025

KAA Gent 3–0 FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KAA Gent won 3–0.

Shots
1515
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.970.9
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

KAA Gent beat FCV Dender 3–0. Recorded in this match (KAA Gent – FCV Dender): shots 15–15, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.97–0.9, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FCV Dender's recent record differs from the season

weak

FCV Dender's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.25 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FCV Dender have a visible away split

weak

FCV Dender's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

9.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season8.38 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.75 shots/match8.38 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

FCV Dender show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FCV Dender's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.9 shots/match ▲ShotsKAA Gent · FCV Dender8.38 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKAA GentFCV DenderBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match8.38 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots15 shotsKAA Gent 15 shots, FCV Dender 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsKAA Gent 3 shots, FCV Dender 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.97 xG0.9 xGKAA Gent 0.97 xG, FCV Dender 0.9 xG
  • Possession63%37%KAA Gent 63%, FCV Dender 37%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersKAA Gent 2 corners, FCV Dender 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls5 foulsKAA Gent 8 fouls, FCV Dender 5 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luc Marijnissen · FCV Dender · 16′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJordan Attah Kadiri · FCV Dender · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMichał Skóraś · KAA Gent · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdelkahar Kadri · KAA Gent · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHyllarion Goore · KAA Gent · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaksim Paskotsi · KAA Gent · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJordan Attah Kadiri · FCV Dender · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Berte · FCV Dender · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWilfried Kanga · KAA Gent · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRoman Kvet · FCV Dender · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaksim Paskotsi · KAA Gent · 6′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAtsuki Ito · KAA Gent · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSiebe Van Der Heyden · KAA Gent · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Fredrick · FCV Dender · 61′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 76′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAbdelkahar Kadri · KAA Gent · 83′ · 0.06 xG · goalBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWilfried Kanga · KAA Gent · 26′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFabio Ferraro · FCV Dender · 45′ · 0.07 xG · on targetBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 75′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHyllarion Goore · KAA Gent · 89′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOmri Gandelman · KAA Gent · 23′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 12′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNoah Mbamba · FCV Dender · 13′ · 0.11 xG · on targetMohamed Berte · FCV Dender · 89′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJordan Attah Kadiri · FCV Dender · 20′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedWilfried Kanga · KAA Gent · 48′ · 0.14 xG · goalMichał Skóraś · KAA Gent · 37′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 90′ · 0.20 xG · on targetWilfried Kanga · KAA Gent · 6′ · 0.80 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

KAA Gent: 15 shots, 3 on target, 1.71 xG. FCV Dender: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Wilfried Kanga · KAA Gent · 6′Wilfried Kanga · KAA Gent · 48′Abdelkahar Kadri · KAA Gent · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: KAA Gent 1.71 xG · FCV Dender 1.10 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0KAA Gent
1Draws
1FCV Dender
FCV Dender — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League0–0
KAA Gent — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KAA Gent favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · FCV Dender in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KAA Gent8 matchesFCV Dender8 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/80.25 goals/match
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.63 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/80.65 xG/match
14.9 shots/match ▲Shots8/88.38 shots/match
4.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/82.88 shots/match
56.9% ●Possession8/847.5%
4.75 corners/match ●Corners8/82.75 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls8/88.88 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 19 Sept 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKAA GentFCV Dender
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headKAA Gent — FCV Dender
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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