PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025

FCV Dender 0–1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise won 0–1.

Shots
518
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
0.091.66
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise beat FCV Dender 1–0. Recorded in this match (FCV Dender – Royale Union Saint-Gilloise): shots 5–18, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.09–1.66, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FCV Dender show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FCV Dender's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

7.43 shots/match ▲ShotsFCV Dender · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise16.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFCV DenderRoyale Union Saint-GilloiseBaseline
Shots7.43 shots/match16.8 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match7.63 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match2 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise have recorded the higher season possession share.

49%PossessionFCV Dender · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise● 59.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFCV DenderRoyale Union Saint-GilloiseBaseline
Possession49%59.4%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots18 shotsFCV Dender 5 shots, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 18 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsFCV Dender 2 shots, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.09 xG1.66 xGFCV Dender 0.09 xG, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.66 xG
  • Possession36%64%FCV Dender 36%, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 64%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersFCV Dender 1 corner, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 6 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls12 foulsFCV Dender 5 fouls, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Fedde Leysen · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMalcolm Viltard · FCV Dender · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 59′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLuc Marijnissen · FCV Dender · 31′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRoss Sykes · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFabio Ferraro · FCV Dender · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRoss Sykes · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKevin Rodriguez · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 87′ · 0.04 xG · goalRaul Florucz · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdem Zorgane · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOusseynou Niang · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRaul Florucz · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 22′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 64′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 56′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 11′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAdem Zorgane · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 45′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRaul Florucz · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 70′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMathias Rasmussen · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 24′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedKevin Rodriguez · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 70′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedRoss Sykes · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 73′ · 0.16 xG · on targetLouis Patris · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 83′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 52′ · 0.48 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FCV Dender: 4 shots, 2 on target, 0.08 xG. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise: 18 shots, 4 on target, 1.80 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Kevin Rodriguez · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FCV Dender 0.08 xG · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.80 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FCV Dender
1Draws
1Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League4–1
FCV Dender — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FCV Dender favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FCV Dender7 matchesRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise8 matches
0.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/8▲ 2 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/8▲ 0.38 goals/match
0.62 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 2.4 xG/match
7.43 shots/matchShots7/8▲ 16.8 shots/match
2.71 shots/matchShots on target7/8▲ 6.88 shots/match
49%Possession7/8● 59.4%
2.43 corners/matchCorners7/8● 6.13 corners/match
9.43 fouls/matchFouls7/812.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFCV DenderRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headFCV Dender — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required