PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025

SV Zulte Waregem 2–1 FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Zulte Waregem won 2–1.

Shots
1910
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
2.351.38
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

SV Zulte Waregem beat FCV Dender 2–1. Recorded in this match (SV Zulte Waregem – FCV Dender): shots 19–10, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 2.35–1.38, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SV Zulte Waregem's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SV Zulte Waregem's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots10 shotsSV Zulte Waregem 19 shots, FCV Dender 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsSV Zulte Waregem 6 shots, FCV Dender 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.35 xG1.38 xGSV Zulte Waregem 2.35 xG, FCV Dender 1.38 xG
  • Possession53%47%SV Zulte Waregem 53%, FCV Dender 47%
  • Corners9 corners2 cornersSV Zulte Waregem 9 corners, FCV Dender 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsSV Zulte Waregem 8 fouls, FCV Dender 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2SV Zulte Waregem
1Draws
0FCV Dender
FCV Dender — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League1–2
SV Zulte Waregem — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League1–0
FCV Dender — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Zulte Waregem favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · FCV Dender in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Zulte Waregem40 matchesFCV Dender36 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored40/360.86 goals/match
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals allowed40/361.72 goals/match
1.43 xG/match ▲Expected goals38/361.15 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots40/3610.8 shots/match
4.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target40/363.75 shots/match
48.5% ●Possession40/3647.9%
4.88 corners/match ●Corners40/363.69 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls40/3611.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples40 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 May 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Zulte WaregemFCV Dender
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headSV Zulte Waregem — FCV Dender
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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