Belgian Pro League · 2025Sat, 9 May 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

SV Zulte Waregem

WWWWW

2–1Full-time recap

FCV Dender

WLLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	SV Zulte Waregem	FCV Dender
Shots	19 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	2.35 xG/match▲	1.38 xG/match
Possession	53%●	47%
Corners	9 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: SV Zulte Waregem's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

SV Zulte Waregem's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SV Zulte Waregem's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.6 goals/match	1.5 goals/match	1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2SV Zulte Waregem

1Draws

0FCV Dender

12 Apr 2026FCV Dender — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League1–2

7 Feb 2026SV Zulte Waregem — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League1–0

7 Nov 2025FCV Dender — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

SV Zulte Waregem favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · FCV Dender in 0 · 2 too close

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 40/360.86 goals/match

1.43 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 40/361.72 goals/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 38/361.15 xG/match

1.53 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 38/361.68 xG/match

13 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 40/3610.8 shots/match

12.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 40/3615.3 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 40/363.75 shots/match

4.55 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 40/365.11 shots/match

48.5%●Possessionseason · 40/3647.9%

4.88 corners/match●Cornersseason · 40/363.69 corners/match

4.83 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 40/365.72 corners/match

1.64 cards/matchCardsseason · 28/0—

10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 40/3611.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

23%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 40/3617%

80%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 40/3667%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

SV Zulte Waregem37.5

FCV Dender32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

SV Zulte Waregem52.5

FCV Dender14.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

SV Zulte Waregem47.5

FCV Dender9.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

SV Zulte Waregem52.5

FCV Dender22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

SV Zulte Waregem31.6

FCV Dender67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

SV Zulte Waregem37.5

FCV Dender10

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

SV Zulte Waregem42.5

FCV Dender28.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

SV Zulte Waregem40 matchesFCV Dender36 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored40/360.86 goals/match

1.43 goals/match▲Goals allowed40/361.72 goals/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goals38/361.15 xG/match

13 shots/match▲Shots40/3610.8 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target40/363.75 shots/match

48.5%●Possession40/3647.9%

4.88 corners/match●Corners40/363.69 corners/match

1.64 cards/matchCards28/0—

10.9 fouls/matchFouls40/3611.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

SV Zulte Waregem20 matchesFCV Dender18 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored20/180.83 goals/match

1.15 goals/match▲Goals allowed20/181.5 goals/match

1.47 xG/match▲Expected goals19/181.07 xG/match

13.9 shots/match▲Shots20/1810.5 shots/match

4.65 shots/match▲Shots on target20/184.11 shots/match

48.1%●Possession20/1845.9%

5 corners/match●Corners20/183.72 corners/match

1.29 cards/matchCards14/0—

9.9 fouls/matchFouls20/1811.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.86 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples40 / 36home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 May 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4