PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025

FCV Dender 2–1 RAAL La Louvière · Belgian Pro League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FCV Dender won 2–1.

Shots
813
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
1.471.67
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

FCV Dender beat RAAL La Louvière 2–1. Recorded in this match (FCV Dender – RAAL La Louvière): shots 8–13, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 1.47–1.67, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RAAL La Louvière's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RAAL La Louvière's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.85 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.85 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FCV Dender have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.9% ●PossessionFCV Dender · RAAL La Louvière39.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFCV DenderRAAL La LouvièreBaseline
Possession47.9%39.7%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots13 shotsFCV Dender 8 shots, RAAL La Louvière 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsFCV Dender 2 shots, RAAL La Louvière 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.47 xG1.67 xGFCV Dender 1.47 xG, RAAL La Louvière 1.67 xG
  • Possession50%50%FCV Dender 50%, RAAL La Louvière 50%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersFCV Dender 4 corners, RAAL La Louvière 5 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls10 foulsFCV Dender 20 fouls, RAAL La Louvière 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FCV Dender
1Draws
0RAAL La Louvière
RAAL La Louvière — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League0–1
RAAL La Louvière — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League1–2
FCV Dender — RAAL La Louvière · Belgian Pro League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FCV Dender favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · RAAL La Louvière in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FCV Dender35 matchesRAAL La Louvière39 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored35/390.85 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed35/39▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.14 xG/match ▲Expected goals35/371.08 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots35/3911.1 shots/match
3.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target35/393.18 shots/match
47.9% ●Possession35/3939.7%
3.74 corners/matchCorners35/39● 4.9 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls35/3911.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 39home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFCV DenderRAAL La Louvière
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headFCV Dender — RAAL La Louvière
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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