Belgian Pro League · 2025Sun, 3 May 2026, 17:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

FCV Dender

LWLLL

2–1Full-time recap

RAAL La Louvière

LLLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	FCV Dender	RAAL La Louvière
Shots	8 shots/match	13 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.47 xG/match	1.67 xG/match▲
Possession	50%	50%
Corners	4 corners/match	5 corners/match●
Fouls	20 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: RAAL La Louvière's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: FCV Dender have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

RAAL La Louvière's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RAAL La Louvière's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.85 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	0.85 goals/match	1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FCV Dender have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.9%●PossessionFCV Dender · RAAL La Louvière39.7%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	FCV Dender	RAAL La Louvière	Baseline
Possession	47.9%	39.7%	49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2FCV Dender

1Draws

0RAAL La Louvière

6 Apr 2026RAAL La Louvière — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League0–1

5 Dec 2025RAAL La Louvière — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League1–2

28 Sept 2025FCV Dender — RAAL La Louvière · Belgian Pro League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

FCV Dender favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · RAAL La Louvière in 6 · 4 too close

0.86 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 35/390.85 goals/match

1.71 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 35/39▲1.38 goals/match

1.14 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 35/371.08 xG/match

1.66 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 35/37▲1.35 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 35/3911.1 shots/match

15.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 35/39▲12.1 shots/match

3.71 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 35/393.18 shots/match

5.09 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 35/39▲4.59 shots/match

47.9%●Possessionseason · 35/3939.7%

3.74 corners/matchCornersseason · 35/39●4.9 corners/match

5.63 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 35/39▲4.23 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/291.93 cards/match

11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 35/3911.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 35/39▲28%

66%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 35/3954%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FCV Dender32.5

RAAL La Louvière2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FCV Dender15.8

RAAL La Louvière10.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FCV Dender10

RAAL La Louvière57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FCV Dender17.5

RAAL La Louvière72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FCV Dender62.5

RAAL La Louvière46

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FCV Dender10

RAAL La Louvière42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FCV Dender27.5

RAAL La Louvière32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

FCV Dender35 matchesRAAL La Louvière39 matches

0.86 goals/matchGoals scored35/390.85 goals/match

1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed35/39▲1.38 goals/match

1.14 xG/match▲Expected goals35/371.08 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShots35/3911.1 shots/match

3.71 shots/match▲Shots on target35/393.18 shots/match

47.9%●Possession35/3939.7%

3.74 corners/matchCorners35/39●4.9 corners/match

—Cards0/291.93 cards/match

11.3 fouls/matchFouls35/3911.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

FCV Dender18 matchesRAAL La Louvière20 matches

0.89 goals/matchGoals scored18/20▲1 goals/match

1.94 goals/matchGoals allowed18/20▲1.6 goals/match

1.23 xG/match▲Expected goals18/191 xG/match

11.1 shots/match▲Shots18/209.8 shots/match

3.39 shots/match▲Shots on target18/202.75 shots/match

49.8%●Possession18/2036.9%

3.67 corners/matchCorners18/20●4 corners/match

—Cards0/152.33 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFouls18/2011.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.94 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples35 / 39home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4