PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Jan Breydel Stadion

Cercle Brugge 2–3 SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Zulte Waregem won 2–3.

Shots
1714
Shots on target
77
Expected goals
2.541.52
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Zulte Waregem beat Cercle Brugge 3–2. Recorded in this match (Cercle Brugge – Zulte Waregem): shots 17–14, shots on target 7–7, expected goals 2.54–1.52, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cercle Brugge's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cercle Brugge's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.49 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match1.49 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Cercle Brugge.

7 days ▲Rest daysCercle Brugge · Zulte Waregem5.06 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCercle BruggeZulte WaregemBaseline
Rest days7 days5.06 days—
Matches last 14 days4 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots14 shotsCercle Brugge 17 shots, SV Zulte Waregem 14 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots7 shotsCercle Brugge 7 shots, SV Zulte Waregem 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.54 xG1.52 xGCercle Brugge 2.54 xG, SV Zulte Waregem 1.52 xG
  • Possession47%53%Cercle Brugge 47%, SV Zulte Waregem 53%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersCercle Brugge 6 corners, SV Zulte Waregem 7 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsCercle Brugge 13 fouls, SV Zulte Waregem 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardCercle Brugge 0 cards, SV Zulte Waregem 1 card

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cercle Brugge
4Draws
0SV Zulte Waregem
SV Zulte Waregem — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League2–2
SV Zulte Waregem — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League1–1
Cercle Brugge — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League1–1
SV Zulte Waregem — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League2–3
Cercle Brugge — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cercle Brugge favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · SV Zulte Waregem in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cercle Brugge39 matchesSV Zulte Waregem38 matches
1.49 goals/matchGoals scored39/381.47 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed39/381.45 goals/match
1.59 xG/match ▲Expected goals37/361.4 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots39/3812.7 shots/match
5.1 shots/match ▲Shots on target39/384.34 shots/match
47.3%Possession39/38● 48.3%
5.21 corners/match ●Corners39/384.66 corners/match
2.18 cards/matchCards28/281.64 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls39/3811 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples39 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 1 May 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCercle BruggeSV Zulte Waregem
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headCercle Brugge — SV Zulte Waregem
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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