Belgian Pro League · 2025Fri, 24 Apr 2026, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Cercle Brugge

WDWWW

2–1Full-time recap

FCV Dender

LLWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Cercle Brugge	FCV Dender
Shots	9 shots/match	13 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	0.76 xG/match▲	0.55 xG/match
Possession	52%●	48%
Corners	7 corners/match●	6 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Cercle Brugge's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Cercle Brugge. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Cercle Brugge's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cercle Brugge's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	3 goals/match	1.47 goals/match	1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Cercle Brugge.

5.2 days▲Rest daysCercle Brugge · FCV Dender5.2 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Cercle Brugge	FCV Dender	Baseline
Rest days	5.2 days	5.2 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Cercle Brugge show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Cercle Brugge's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match▲ShotsCercle Brugge · FCV Dender10.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Cercle Brugge	FCV Dender	Baseline
Shots	14.3 shots/match	10.9 shots/match	13.2 shots/match
Shots against	13.3 shots/match	15.3 shots/match	13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Cercle Brugge

3Draws

0FCV Dender

19 Apr 2026FCV Dender — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League1–4

1 Mar 2026Cercle Brugge — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League0–0

26 Jul 2025FCV Dender — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League0–0

18 Jan 2025FCV Dender — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League0–1

19 Oct 2024Cercle Brugge — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Cercle Brugge favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · FCV Dender in 0 · 3 too close

1.47 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 38/340.82 goals/match

1.39 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 38/341.74 goals/match

1.56 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 36/341.13 xG/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 36/341.66 xG/match

14.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 38/3410.9 shots/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 38/3415.3 shots/match

5.05 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 38/343.76 shots/match

4.79 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 38/345.09 shots/match

47.3%Possessionseason · 38/34●47.9%

5.18 corners/match●Cornersseason · 38/343.74 corners/match

5.47 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 38/345.65 corners/match

2.18 cards/matchCardsseason · 28/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 38/3411.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

26%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 38/3418%

76%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 38/3465%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Cercle Brugge20.6

FCV Dender32.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Cercle Brugge71.5

FCV Dender14.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Cercle Brugge32.3

FCV Dender9.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Cercle Brugge97.1

FCV Dender20.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Cercle Brugge33.8

FCV Dender50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Cercle Brugge55.9

FCV Dender5.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Cercle Brugge55.9

FCV Dender23.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Cercle Brugge38 matchesFCV Dender34 matches

1.47 goals/match▲Goals scored38/340.82 goals/match

1.39 goals/match▲Goals allowed38/341.74 goals/match

1.56 xG/match▲Expected goals36/341.13 xG/match

14.3 shots/match▲Shots38/3410.9 shots/match

5.05 shots/match▲Shots on target38/343.76 shots/match

47.3%Possession38/34●47.9%

5.18 corners/match●Corners38/343.74 corners/match

2.18 cards/matchCards28/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls38/3411.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Cercle Brugge19 matchesFCV Dender17 matches

1.37 goals/match▲Goals scored19/170.82 goals/match

1.74 goals/matchGoals allowed19/17▲1.47 goals/match

1.51 xG/match▲Expected goals18/171.05 xG/match

15.2 shots/match▲Shots19/1710.5 shots/match

5.42 shots/match▲Shots on target19/174.06 shots/match

50.5%●Possession19/1745.9%

5.47 corners/match●Corners19/173.82 corners/match

1.43 cards/matchCards14/0—

8.95 fouls/matchFouls19/1711.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.2 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples38 / 34home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 24 Apr 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4