PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025

Cercle Brugge 2–1 FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cercle Brugge won 2–1.

Shots
913
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
0.760.55
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cercle Brugge beat FCV Dender 2–1. Recorded in this match (Cercle Brugge – FCV Dender): shots 9–13, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 0.76–0.55, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cercle Brugge's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cercle Brugge's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match1.47 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Cercle Brugge.

5.2 days ▲Rest daysCercle Brugge · FCV Dender5.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCercle BruggeFCV DenderBaseline
Rest days5.2 days5.2 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Cercle Brugge show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Cercle Brugge's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsCercle Brugge · FCV Dender10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCercle BruggeFCV DenderBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match10.9 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match15.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots13 shotsCercle Brugge 9 shots, FCV Dender 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsCercle Brugge 5 shots, FCV Dender 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.76 xG0.55 xGCercle Brugge 0.76 xG, FCV Dender 0.55 xG
  • Possession52%48%Cercle Brugge 52%, FCV Dender 48%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersCercle Brugge 7 corners, FCV Dender 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls9 foulsCercle Brugge 9 fouls, FCV Dender 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Cercle Brugge
3Draws
0FCV Dender
FCV Dender — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League1–4
Cercle Brugge — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League0–0
FCV Dender — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League0–0
FCV Dender — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League0–1
Cercle Brugge — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cercle Brugge favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · FCV Dender in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cercle Brugge38 matchesFCV Dender34 matches
1.47 goals/match ▲Goals scored38/340.82 goals/match
1.39 goals/match ▲Goals allowed38/341.74 goals/match
1.56 xG/match ▲Expected goals36/341.13 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots38/3410.9 shots/match
5.05 shots/match ▲Shots on target38/343.76 shots/match
47.3%Possession38/34● 47.9%
5.18 corners/match ●Corners38/343.74 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls38/3411.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples38 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 24 Apr 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCercle BruggeFCV Dender
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headCercle Brugge — FCV Dender
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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