Belgian Pro League · 2025Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

FCV Dender

DLLWL

1–4Full-time recap

Cercle Brugge

LLWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	FCV Dender	Cercle Brugge
Shots	8 shots/match	19 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	12 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.84 xG/match	3.06 xG/match▲
Possession	59%●	41%
Corners	4 corners/match	6 corners/match●
Fouls	12 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Cercle Brugge's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Cercle Brugge's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Cercle Brugge's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cercle Brugge's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	3.2 goals/match	1.44 goals/match	1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cercle Brugge show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Cercle Brugge's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match▲ShotsFCV Dender · Cercle Brugge14.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	FCV Dender	Cercle Brugge	Baseline
Shots	10.8 shots/match	14.6 shots/match	13.2 shots/match
Shots against	15.5 shots/match	13.3 shots/match	13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0FCV Dender

3Draws

1Cercle Brugge

1 Mar 2026Cercle Brugge — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League0–0

26 Jul 2025FCV Dender — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League0–0

18 Jan 2025FCV Dender — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League0–1

19 Oct 2024Cercle Brugge — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

FCV Dender favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Cercle Brugge in 9 · 4 too close

0.82 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 33/36▲1.44 goals/match

1.73 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 33/36▲1.42 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 33/34▲1.61 xG/match

1.69 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 33/34▲1.49 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/36▲14.6 shots/match

15.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 33/36▲13.3 shots/match

3.79 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/36▲5.06 shots/match

5.09 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 33/364.89 shots/match

47.8%●Possessionseason · 33/3647.1%

3.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/36●5.08 corners/match

5.61 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/365.44 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/282.18 cards/match

11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3610.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/36▲28%

64%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/36▲75%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FCV Dender32.4

Cercle Brugge20.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FCV Dender14.7

Cercle Brugge69.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FCV Dender7.8

Cercle Brugge32.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FCV Dender20.6

Cercle Brugge97.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FCV Dender50

Cercle Brugge33.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FCV Dender5.9

Cercle Brugge55.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FCV Dender23.5

Cercle Brugge55.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

FCV Dender33 matchesCercle Brugge36 matches

0.82 goals/matchGoals scored33/36▲1.44 goals/match

1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed33/36▲1.42 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goals33/34▲1.61 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShots33/36▲14.6 shots/match

3.79 shots/matchShots on target33/36▲5.06 shots/match

47.8%●Possession33/3647.1%

3.67 corners/matchCorners33/36●5.08 corners/match

—Cards0/282.18 cards/match

11.1 fouls/matchFouls33/3610.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

FCV Dender17 matchesCercle Brugge19 matches

0.82 goals/matchGoals scored17/19▲1.58 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed17/19▲1.05 goals/match

1.21 xG/matchExpected goals17/18▲1.61 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots17/19▲13.4 shots/match

3.47 shots/matchShots on target17/19▲4.68 shots/match

49.8%●Possession17/1944.1%

3.65 corners/matchCorners17/19●4.89 corners/match

—Cards0/142.93 cards/match

10.9 fouls/matchFouls17/1912.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.86 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples33 / 36home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4