PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025

FCV Dender 1–4 Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League

1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cercle Brugge won 1–4.

Shots
819
Shots on target
212
Expected goals
0.843.06
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cercle Brugge beat FCV Dender 4–1. Recorded in this match (FCV Dender – Cercle Brugge): shots 8–19, shots on target 2–12, expected goals 0.84–3.06, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cercle Brugge's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cercle Brugge's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.2 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cercle Brugge show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Cercle Brugge's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsFCV Dender · Cercle Brugge14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFCV DenderCercle BruggeBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against15.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots19 shotsFCV Dender 8 shots, Cercle Brugge 19 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots12 shotsFCV Dender 2 shots, Cercle Brugge 12 shots
  • Expected goals0.84 xG3.06 xGFCV Dender 0.84 xG, Cercle Brugge 3.06 xG
  • Possession59%41%FCV Dender 59%, Cercle Brugge 41%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersFCV Dender 4 corners, Cercle Brugge 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsFCV Dender 12 fouls, Cercle Brugge 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FCV Dender
3Draws
1Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League0–0
FCV Dender — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League0–0
FCV Dender — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League0–1
Cercle Brugge — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FCV Dender favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Cercle Brugge in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FCV Dender33 matchesCercle Brugge36 matches
0.82 goals/matchGoals scored33/36▲ 1.44 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed33/36▲ 1.42 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals33/34▲ 1.61 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots33/36▲ 14.6 shots/match
3.79 shots/matchShots on target33/36▲ 5.06 shots/match
47.8% ●Possession33/3647.1%
3.67 corners/matchCorners33/36● 5.08 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls33/3610.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFCV DenderCercle Brugge
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headFCV Dender — Cercle Brugge
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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