PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025

Vitória SC 4–0 AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga

4–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vitória SC won 4–0.

Shots
119
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
1.61.2
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vitória SC beat AVS - Futebol SAD 4–0. Recorded in this match (Vitória SC – AVS - Futebol SAD): shots 11–9, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 1.6–1.2, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vitória SC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vitória SC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots9 shotsVitória SC 11 shots, AVS - Futebol SAD 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotVitória SC 4 shots, AVS - Futebol SAD 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.6 xG1.2 xGVitória SC 1.6 xG, AVS - Futebol SAD 1.2 xG
  • Possession46%54%Vitória SC 46%, AVS - Futebol SAD 54%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersVitória SC 7 corners, AVS - Futebol SAD 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls14 foulsVitória SC 11 fouls, AVS - Futebol SAD 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Telmo Arcanjo · Vitória SC · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNoah Saviolo · Vitória SC · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamu · Vitória SC · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatija Mitrović · Vitória SC · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNoah Saviolo · Vitória SC · 2′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Rivas · Vitória SC · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTunde Akinsola · AVS - Futebol SAD · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSidi Bane · AVS - Futebol SAD · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDiego Duarte · AVS - Futebol SAD · 85′ · 0.06 xG · on targetÓscar Perea · AVS - Futebol SAD · 7′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNenê · AVS - Futebol SAD · 54′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNélson Oliveira · Vitória SC · 9′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBruno Lourenço · AVS - Futebol SAD · 61′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNenê · AVS - Futebol SAD · 65′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRafael Barbosa · AVS - Futebol SAD · 71′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedNélson Oliveira · Vitória SC · 14′ · 0.25 xG · goalOumar Camara · Vitória SC · 75′ · 0.31 xG · goalÓscar Rivas · Vitória SC · 27′ · 0.32 xG · goalBeni Mukendi · Vitória SC · 32′ · 0.44 xG · goalBruno Lourenço · AVS - Futebol SAD · 65′ · 0.67 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Vitória SC: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.58 xG. AVS - Futebol SAD: 9 shots, 1 on target, 1.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Nélson Oliveira · Vitória SC · 14′Óscar Rivas · Vitória SC · 27′Beni Mukendi · Vitória SC · 32′Oumar Camara · Vitória SC · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Vitória SC 1.58 xG · AVS - Futebol SAD 1.31 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Vitória SC
0Draws
1AVS - Futebol SAD
Vitória SC — AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga2–0
AVS - Futebol SAD — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória SC favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · AVS - Futebol SAD in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória SC13 matchesAVS - Futebol SAD12 matches
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/120.67 goals/match
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/122.42 goals/match
1.1 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/120.9 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots13/1210.4 shots/match
3.69 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/122.92 shots/match
48% ●Possession13/1245.1%
4.62 corners/match ●Corners13/123.33 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls13/1215.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 00:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVitória SCAVS - Futebol SAD
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headVitória SC — AVS - Futebol SAD
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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