PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025

AVS - Futebol SAD 0–2 Moreirense · Primeira Liga

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Moreirense won 0–2.

Shots
912
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
0.361.91
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Moreirense beat AVS - Futebol SAD 2–0. Recorded in this match (AVS - Futebol SAD – Moreirense): shots 9–12, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 0.36–1.91, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Moreirense's recent record differs from the season

weak

Moreirense's last-five shots average is above their season average.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match10 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots12 shotsAVS - Futebol SAD 9 shots, Moreirense 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsAVS - Futebol SAD 4 shots, Moreirense 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.36 xG1.91 xGAVS - Futebol SAD 0.36 xG, Moreirense 1.91 xG
  • Possession40%60%AVS - Futebol SAD 40%, Moreirense 60%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersAVS - Futebol SAD 2 corners, Moreirense 4 corners
  • Fouls23 fouls11 foulsAVS - Futebol SAD 23 fouls, Moreirense 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Diogo Travassos · Moreirense · 12′ · 0.01 xG · goalDaniel Rivas · AVS - Futebol SAD · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme Neiva · AVS - Futebol SAD · 36′ · 0.01 xG · on targetTunde Akinsola · AVS - Futebol SAD · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMateja Stjepanović · Moreirense · 50′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGuilherme Schettine · Moreirense · 54′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRodrigo Alonso · Moreirense · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlan · Moreirense · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTunde Akinsola · AVS - Futebol SAD · 85′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlan · Moreirense · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTunde Akinsola · AVS - Futebol SAD · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Travassos · Moreirense · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTunde Akinsola · AVS - Futebol SAD · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlan · Moreirense · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Perea · AVS - Futebol SAD · 82′ · 0.04 xG · on targetÓscar Perea · AVS - Futebol SAD · 77′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJordi Escobar · AVS - Futebol SAD · 58′ · 0.11 xG · on targetGuilherme Schettine · Moreirense · 12′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedLanderson · Moreirense · 75′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme Schettine · Moreirense · 11′ · 0.42 xG · on targetGuilherme Schettine · Moreirense · 50′ · 0.79 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AVS - Futebol SAD: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.39 xG. Moreirense: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.93 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Diogo Travassos · Moreirense · 12′Guilherme Schettine · Moreirense · 50′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AVS - Futebol SAD 0.39 xG · Moreirense 1.93 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0AVS - Futebol SAD
1Draws
1Moreirense
AVS - Futebol SAD — Moreirense · Primeira Liga0–3
Moreirense — AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AVS - Futebol SAD favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Moreirense in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AVS - Futebol SAD17 matchesMoreirense17 matches
0.65 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.47 goals/match
2.53 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.41 goals/match
0.88 xG/matchExpected goals17/16▲ 1.17 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots17/1710 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 3.71 shots/match
42%Possession17/17● 49.9%
3.24 corners/matchCorners17/17● 4.06 corners/match
14.9 fouls/matchFouls17/1714.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Jan 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAVS - Futebol SADMoreirense
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headAVS - Futebol SAD — Moreirense
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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