PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2023

Real Madrid 4–2 Napoli · UEFA Champions League

4–2Historical match

Napoli

WLWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 4–2.

Shots
2011
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
2.871.4
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Napoli 4–2. Recorded in this match (Real Madrid – Napoli): shots 20–11, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 2.87–1.4, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

8.4 corners/matchCornersReal Madrid · Napoli● 8.6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridNapoliBaseline
Corners8.4 corners/match8.6 corners/match5.28 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20.2 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Madrid · Napoli16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridNapoliBaseline
Shots20.2 shots/match16 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against11.6 shots/match16 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Napoli have a visible away split

weak

Napoli's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match16 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots11 shotsReal Madrid 20 shots, Napoli 11 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsReal Madrid 9 shots, Napoli 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.87 xG1.4 xGReal Madrid 2.87 xG, Napoli 1.4 xG
  • Possession53%47%Real Madrid 53%, Napoli 47%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersReal Madrid 5 corners, Napoli 4 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls14 foulsReal Madrid 6 fouls, Napoli 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Piotr Zieliński · Napoli · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Real Madrid · 84′ · 0.01 xG · goalKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrank Anguissa · Napoli · 47′ · 0.02 xG · goalJoselu · Real Madrid · 89′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGiacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Di Lorenzo · Napoli · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 70′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlessandro Zanoli · Napoli · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 2′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoselu · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 11′ · 0.07 xG · goalJoselu · Real Madrid · 77′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Simeone · Napoli · 24′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJoselu · Real Madrid · 78′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 30′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJoselu · Real Madrid · 57′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 55′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 77′ · 0.16 xG · on targetGiovanni Simeone · Napoli · 45′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedJoselu · Real Madrid · 79′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 22′ · 0.18 xG · goalJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 79′ · 0.18 xG · on targetRodrygo · Real Madrid · 14′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedJoselu · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedDavid Alaba · Real Madrid · 77′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedJoselu · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.33 xG · goalJoselu · Real Madrid · 62′ · 0.48 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Simeone · Napoli · 9′ · 0.76 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Madrid: 20 shots, 9 on target, 2.91 xG. Napoli: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Rodrygo · Real Madrid · 11′Jude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 22′Nico Paz · Real Madrid · 84′Joselu · Real Madrid · 90′Giovanni Simeone · Napoli · 9′Frank Anguissa · Napoli · 47′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 2.91 xG · Napoli 1.35 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Real Madrid
0Draws
0Napoli
Napoli — Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League2–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Napoli in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid5 matchesNapoli5 matches
2.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
2.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.42 xG/match
20.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/516 shots/match
6.8 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/54.4 shots/match
55.6% ●Possession5/555.2%
8.4 corners/matchCorners5/5● 8.6 corners/match
9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 30 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal MadridNapoli
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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