PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Napoli 0–3 Inter · Serie A

Napoli

WDWLW
0–3Historical match

Inter

WWWWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 0–3.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.572.69
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Napoli 3–0. Recorded in this match (Napoli – Inter): shots 15–11, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.57–2.69, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Napoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Napoli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.86 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsNapoli 15 shots, Inter 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsNapoli 4 shots, Inter 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.57 xG2.69 xGNapoli 0.57 xG, Inter 2.69 xG
  • Possession57%43%Napoli 57%, Inter 43%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersNapoli 6 corners, Inter 4 corners
  • Fouls2 fouls13 foulsNapoli 2 fouls, Inter 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Federico Dimarco · Inter · 28′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEljif Elmas · Napoli · 3′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAmir Rrahmani · Napoli · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Di Lorenzo · Napoli · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Napoli · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Napoli · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmir Rrahmani · Napoli · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 89′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEljif Elmas · Napoli · 19′ · 0.05 xG · on targetVictor Osimhen · Napoli · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 44′ · 0.05 xG · goalJesper Lindstrøm · Napoli · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 27′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 58′ · 0.10 xG · on targetNicolò Barella · Inter · 70′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 70′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 67′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 39′ · 0.37 xG · on targetNicolò Barella · Inter · 62′ · 0.82 xG · goalMarcus Thuram · Inter · 85′ · 0.91 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Napoli: 15 shots, 4 on target, 0.56 xG. Inter: 11 shots, 4 on target, 2.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 44′Nicolò Barella · Inter · 62′Marcus Thuram · Inter · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Napoli 0.56 xG · Inter 2.72 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Napoli
1Draws
2Inter
Napoli — Inter · Serie A3–1
Inter — Napoli · Serie A1–0
Napoli — Inter · Serie A1–1
Inter — Napoli · Serie A3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Napoli favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Inter in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Napoli14 matchesInter14 matches
1.86 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 2.36 goals/match
1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 0.5 goals/match
1.86 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 2.04 xG/match
17.7 shots/match ▲Shots14/1415.9 shots/match
5.86 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/144.93 shots/match
58.5% ●Possession14/1454.6%
6.64 corners/match ●Corners14/145.07 corners/match
9.64 fouls/matchFouls14/1410.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Dec 2023, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNapoliInter
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headNapoli — Inter
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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