Serie A · 2023

Sassuolo 1–2 Roma · Serie A

1–2Historical match

Roma

WLWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma won 1–2.

Shots
815
Shots on target
27
Expected goals
0.922.28
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Roma beat Sassuolo 2–1. Recorded in this match (Sassuolo – Roma): shots 8–15, shots on target 2–7, expected goals 0.92–2.28, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Roma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Roma's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.93 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.64 corners/match ●CornersSassuolo · Roma5.43 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSassuoloRomaBaseline
Corners5.64 corners/match5.43 corners/match4.79 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Roma show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Roma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsSassuolo · Roma13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSassuoloRomaBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against14.6 shots/match9.64 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots15 shotsSassuolo 8 shots, Roma 15 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots7 shotsSassuolo 2 shots, Roma 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.92 xG2.28 xGSassuolo 0.92 xG, Roma 2.28 xG
  • Possession34%66%Sassuolo 34%, Roma 66%
  • Corners1 corner11 cornersSassuolo 1 corner, Roma 11 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsSassuolo 10 fouls, Roma 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gianluca Mancini · Roma · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJeremy Toljan · Sassuolo · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Spinazzola · Roma · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBryan Cristante · Roma · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Henrique · Sassuolo · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Paredes · Roma · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSardar Azmoun · Roma · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Kristensen · Roma · 82′ · 0.04 xG · goalUroš Račić · Sassuolo · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Dybala · Roma · 10′ · 0.05 xG · on targetStephan El Shaarawy · Roma · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPaulo Dybala · Roma · 6′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRick Karsdorp · Roma · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Dybala · Roma · 41′ · 0.07 xG · on targetUroš Račić · Sassuolo · 86′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKristian Thorstvedt · Sassuolo · 43′ · 0.10 xG · on targetDomenico Berardi · Sassuolo · 25′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetRomelu Lukaku · Roma · 54′ · 0.33 xG · on targetMatheus Henrique · Sassuolo · 25′ · 0.48 xG · goalSardar Azmoun · Roma · 56′ · 0.57 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Dybala · Roma · 76′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sassuolo: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.89 xG. Roma: 15 shots, 7 on target, 2.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Matheus Henrique · Sassuolo · 25′Paulo Dybala · Roma · 76′Rasmus Kristensen · Roma · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sassuolo 0.89 xG · Roma 2.30 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Sassuolo
2Draws
1Roma
Roma — Sassuolo · Serie A3–4
Sassuolo — Roma · Serie A1–1
Sassuolo — Roma · Serie A2–2
Roma — Sassuolo · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sassuolo favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Roma in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sassuolo14 matchesRoma14 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.93 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.48 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots14/1413.1 shots/match
4.86 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/144.29 shots/match
45.8%Possession14/14● 55.6%
5.64 corners/match ●Corners14/145.43 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Dec 2023, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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