PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2023

FC København 1–0 Galatasaray · UEFA Champions League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC København won 1–0.

Shots
1122
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
1.31.56
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC København beat Galatasaray 1–0. Recorded in this match (FC København – Galatasaray): shots 11–22, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 1.3–1.56, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC København have a visible home split

moderate

FC København's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

FC København's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC København's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.58 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.58 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Galatasaray have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.2%PossessionFC København · Galatasaray● 55.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC KøbenhavnGalatasarayBaseline
Possession46.2%55.4%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots22 shotsFC København 11 shots, Galatasaray 22 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsFC København 3 shots, Galatasaray 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.3 xG1.56 xGFC København 1.3 xG, Galatasaray 1.56 xG
  • Possession37%63%FC København 37%, Galatasaray 63%
  • Corners3 corners9 cornersFC København 3 corners, Galatasaray 9 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls5 foulsFC København 10 fouls, Galatasaray 5 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mohamed Elyounoussi · FC København · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCédric Bakambu · Galatasaray · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedElias Achouri · FC København · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHakim Ziyech · Galatasaray · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetWilfried Zaha · Galatasaray · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLukas Lerager · FC København · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedElias Achouri · FC København · 75′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCédric Bakambu · Galatasaray · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCédric Bakambu · Galatasaray · 84′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCédric Bakambu · Galatasaray · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDries Mertens · Galatasaray · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKerem Aktürkoğlu · Galatasaray · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSacha Boey · Galatasaray · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 18′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedElias Achouri · FC København · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKerem Aktürkoğlu · Galatasaray · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKerem Aktürkoğlu · Galatasaray · 73′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Elyounoussi · FC København · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCédric Bakambu · Galatasaray · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWilfried Zaha · Galatasaray · 15′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 77′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Gonçalves · FC København · 4′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSérgio Oliveira · Galatasaray · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTetê · Galatasaray · 14′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Cornelius · FC København · 69′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 82′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCédric Bakambu · Galatasaray · 67′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedWilfried Zaha · Galatasaray · 42′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPeter Ankersen · FC København · 8′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedViktor Claesson · FC København · 70′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedDavinson Sánchez · Galatasaray · 90′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedLukas Lerager · FC København · 58′ · 0.63 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC København: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.35 xG. Galatasaray: 22 shots, 4 on target, 1.59 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Lukas Lerager · FC København · 58′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC København 1.35 xG · Galatasaray 1.59 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC København
1Draws
0Galatasaray
Galatasaray — FC København · UEFA Champions League2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC København favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Galatasaray in 7

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC København12 matchesGalatasaray12 matches
1.58 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.83 goals/match
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/121.5 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.67 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots12/11▲ 13.7 shots/match
3.92 shots/matchShots on target12/11▲ 4.73 shots/match
46.2%Possession11/11● 55.4%
3.67 corners/matchCorners12/12● 5.42 corners/match
9.09 fouls/matchFouls11/1112 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 13 Dec 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC KøbenhavnGalatasaray
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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