PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2023

Red Bull Salzburg 1–3 Benfica · UEFA Champions League

1–3Historical match

Benfica

LLLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Benfica won 1–3.

Shots
1918
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
1.673.1
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Benfica beat Red Bull Salzburg 3–1. Recorded in this match (Red Bull Salzburg – Benfica): shots 19–18, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 1.67–3.1, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Red Bull Salzburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Red Bull Salzburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Red Bull Salzburg have a visible home split

weak

Red Bull Salzburg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match12.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Benfica show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Benfica's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsRed Bull Salzburg · Benfica11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRed Bull SalzburgBenficaBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against17.2 shots/match16.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots18 shotsRed Bull Salzburg 19 shots, Benfica 18 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsRed Bull Salzburg 6 shots, Benfica 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.67 xG3.1 xGRed Bull Salzburg 1.67 xG, Benfica 3.1 xG
  • Possession44%56%Red Bull Salzburg 44%, Benfica 56%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersRed Bull Salzburg 2 corners, Benfica 6 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls8 foulsRed Bull Salzburg 8 fouls, Benfica 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Strahinja Pavlović · Red Bull Salzburg · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedÁngel Di María · Benfica · 32′ · 0.01 xG · goalÁngel Di María · Benfica · 52′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedÁngel Di María · Benfica · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOscar Gloukh · Red Bull Salzburg · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Gourna-Douath · Red Bull Salzburg · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁngel Di María · Benfica · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSekou Koita · Red Bull Salzburg · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPetar Ratkov · Red Bull Salzburg · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOrkun Kökçü · Benfica · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÁngel Di María · Benfica · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Benfica · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPetar Ratkov · Red Bull Salzburg · 12′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPetar Ratkov · Red Bull Salzburg · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDorgeles Nene · Red Bull Salzburg · 44′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRafa Silva · Benfica · 46′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOrkun Kökçü · Benfica · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFernando · Red Bull Salzburg · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAmar Dedić · Red Bull Salzburg · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuka Sučić · Red Bull Salzburg · 57′ · 0.06 xG · goalLuka Sučić · Red Bull Salzburg · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedÁngel Di María · Benfica · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRafa Silva · Benfica · 45′ · 0.09 xG · goalPetar Ratkov · Red Bull Salzburg · 39′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFernando · Red Bull Salzburg · 65′ · 0.10 xG · on targetFernando · Red Bull Salzburg · 89′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSekou Koita · Red Bull Salzburg · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPetar Ratkov · Red Bull Salzburg · 40′ · 0.16 xG · on targetNicolás Otamendi · Benfica · 62′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedRafa Silva · Benfica · 13′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedDorgeles Nene · Red Bull Salzburg · 45′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedRafa Silva · Benfica · 75′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedDorgeles Nene · Red Bull Salzburg · 22′ · 0.34 xG · on targetRafa Silva · Benfica · 77′ · 0.35 xG · on targetPetar Musa · Benfica · 81′ · 0.48 xG · off target or blockedArthur Cabral · Benfica · 90′ · 0.49 xG · goalRafa Silva · Benfica · 52′ · 0.59 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Red Bull Salzburg: 19 shots, 6 on target, 1.67 xG. Benfica: 18 shots, 6 on target, 3.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Luka Sučić · Red Bull Salzburg · 57′Ángel Di María · Benfica · 32′Rafa Silva · Benfica · 45′Arthur Cabral · Benfica · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Red Bull Salzburg 1.67 xG · Benfica 3.11 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Red Bull Salzburg
0Draws
0Benfica
Benfica — Red Bull Salzburg · UEFA Champions League0–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Red Bull Salzburg favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Benfica in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Red Bull Salzburg6 matchesBenfica6 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.83 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.31 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots6/611.8 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 4.67 shots/match
43.5%Possession6/6● 48.7%
3.33 corners/matchCorners6/6● 4.17 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls6/68.17 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 13 Dec 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRed Bull SalzburgBenfica
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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