PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2023

Celtic 2–1 Feyenoord · UEFA Champions League

Celtic

LLDLL
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Celtic won 2–1.

Shots
1319
Shots on target
78
Expected goals
2.272.08
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Celtic beat Feyenoord 2–1. Recorded in this match (Celtic – Feyenoord): shots 13–19, shots on target 7–8, expected goals 2.27–2.08, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Celtic show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Celtic's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

7.67 shots/match ▲ShotsCeltic · Feyenoord15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCelticFeyenoordBaseline
Shots7.67 shots/match15.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against18 shots/match9 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Celtic have a visible home split

weak

Celtic's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season7.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match7.67 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Celtic's recent record differs from the season

weak

Celtic's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.83 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots19 shotsCeltic 13 shots, Feyenoord 19 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots8 shotsCeltic 7 shots, Feyenoord 8 shots
  • Expected goals2.27 xG2.08 xGCeltic 2.27 xG, Feyenoord 2.08 xG
  • Possession48%52%Celtic 48%, Feyenoord 52%
  • Corners6 corners8 cornersCeltic 6 corners, Feyenoord 8 corners
  • Fouls4 fouls14 foulsCeltic 4 fouls, Feyenoord 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Matt O'Riley · Celtic · 9′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMikey Johnston · Celtic · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedQuinten Timber · Feyenoord · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKyogo Furuhashi · Celtic · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRamiz Zerrouki · Feyenoord · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuka Ivanušec · Feyenoord · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGreg Taylor · Celtic · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Giménez · Feyenoord · 86′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJavairô Dilrosun · Feyenoord · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCalvin Stengs · Feyenoord · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCallum McGregor · Celtic · 49′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLuka Ivanušec · Feyenoord · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCallum McGregor · Celtic · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKyogo Furuhashi · Celtic · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAyase Ueda · Feyenoord · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThomas Van den Belt · Feyenoord · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMats Wieffer · Feyenoord · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedQuinten Timber · Feyenoord · 35′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedHyeon-gyu Oh · Celtic · 71′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKyogo Furuhashi · Celtic · 17′ · 0.11 xG · on targetLuis Palma · Celtic · 48′ · 0.13 xG · on targetSantiago Giménez · Feyenoord · 35′ · 0.14 xG · on targetAyase Ueda · Feyenoord · 84′ · 0.14 xG · on targetSantiago Giménez · Feyenoord · 85′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedCallum McGregor · Celtic · 11′ · 0.18 xG · on targetLutsharel Geertruida · Feyenoord · 43′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedYankuba Minteh · Feyenoord · 90′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedAyase Ueda · Feyenoord · 90′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Giménez · Feyenoord · 29′ · 0.27 xG · on targetYankuba Minteh · Feyenoord · 82′ · 0.32 xG · goalGustaf Lagerbielke · Celtic · 90′ · 0.76 xG · goalLuis Palma · Celtic · 33′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celtic: 13 shots, 7 on target, 2.27 xG. Feyenoord: 19 shots, 7 on target, 2.12 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Luis Palma · Celtic · 33′Gustaf Lagerbielke · Celtic · 90′Yankuba Minteh · Feyenoord · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celtic 2.27 xG · Feyenoord 2.12 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Celtic
0Draws
1Feyenoord
Feyenoord — Celtic · UEFA Champions League2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celtic favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Feyenoord in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celtic6 matchesFeyenoord6 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.5 goals/match
2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.67 goals/match
0.83 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.8 xG/match
7.67 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 15.2 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5.33 shots/match
47.2%Possession6/6● 54.3%
3.67 corners/matchCorners6/6● 7.5 corners/match
8.5 fouls/matchFouls6/612.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 14 Dec 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCelticFeyenoord
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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