UEFA Champions League · 2024

Atlético Madrid 1–3 Lille · UEFA Champions League

1–3Historical match

Lille

LWLLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lille won 1–3.

Shots
118
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
2.351.3
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lille beat Atlético Madrid 3–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Madrid – Lille): shots 11–8, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 2.35–1.3, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lille's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lille's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.4 shots/match10.6 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lille show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsAtlético Madrid · Lille10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MadridLilleBaseline
Shots12 shots/match10.6 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots8 shotsAtlético Madrid 11 shots, Lille 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsAtlético Madrid 6 shots, Lille 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.35 xG1.3 xGAtlético Madrid 2.35 xG, Lille 1.3 xG
  • Possession62%38%Atlético Madrid 62%, Lille 38%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersAtlético Madrid 6 corners, Lille 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls11 foulsAtlético Madrid 9 fouls, Lille 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Julián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 68′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRémy Cabella · Lille · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexsandro Ribeiro · Lille · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 85′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJosé María Giménez · Atlético Madrid · 33′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 61′ · 0.05 xG · goalMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 1′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 50′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedÁngel Correa · Atlético Madrid · 84′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Gudmundsson · Lille · 89′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 86′ · 0.17 xG · on targetAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 2′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Lille · 89′ · 0.21 xG · goalJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 8′ · 0.35 xG · goalAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 21′ · 0.36 xG · on targetAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 66′ · 0.48 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 32′ · 0.53 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Lille · 74′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 11 shots, 6 on target, 2.31 xG. Lille: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Julián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 8′Edon Zhegrova · Lille · 61′Jonathan David · Lille · 74′Jonathan David · Lille · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 2.31 xG · Lille 1.36 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Madrid favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Lille in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid3 matchesLille7 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored3/7▲ 1.29 goals/match
2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/7▲ 1 goal/match
1.45 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/30.97 xG/match
12 shots/match ▲Shots3/710.6 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/7▲ 4.14 shots/match
53.7% ●Possession3/750.6%
5.33 corners/match ●Corners3/73.43 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls3/714.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 23 Oct 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

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