PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

RC Lens 0–2 Lille · Ligue 1

RC Lens

DDDDW
0–2Historical match

Lille

LDWWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lille won 0–2.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.091.72
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lille beat RC Lens 2–0. Recorded in this match (RC Lens – Lille): shots 11–11, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.09–1.72, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lille's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lille's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.67 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RC Lens have a visible home split

weak

RC Lens's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsRC Lens 11 shots, Lille 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsRC Lens 4 shots, Lille 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.09 xG1.72 xGRC Lens 1.09 xG, Lille 1.72 xG
  • Possession58%42%RC Lens 58%, Lille 42%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersRC Lens 8 corners, Lille 2 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls14 foulsRC Lens 16 fouls, Lille 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Thomas Meunier · Lille · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDeiver Machado · RC Lens · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPrzemysław Frankowski · RC Lens · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnass Zaroury · RC Lens · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnass Zaroury · RC Lens · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetOsame Sahraoui · Lille · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 16′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAdrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 31′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 60′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJonathan David · Lille · 73′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Lille · 73′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedM'bala Nzola · RC Lens · 31′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bayo · Lille · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 32′ · 0.13 xG · on targetAndy Diouf · RC Lens · 38′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Lille · 49′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Medina · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 1′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedAnass Zaroury · RC Lens · 4′ · 0.33 xG · on targetMohamed Bayo · Lille · 90′ · 0.35 xG · goalJonathan David · Lille · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Lens: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.11 xG. Lille: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Jonathan David · Lille · 90′Mohamed Bayo · Lille · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Lens 1.11 xG · Lille 1.94 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1RC Lens
2Draws
2Lille
Lille — RC Lens · Ligue 12–1
RC Lens — Lille · Ligue 11–1
RC Lens — Lille · Ligue 11–1
Lille — RC Lens · Ligue 11–0
Lille — RC Lens · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Lens favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Lille in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Lens9 matchesLille9 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.67 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/90.89 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 1.73 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots9/912.8 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target9/94.89 shots/match
55.9%Possession9/9● 58%
6 corners/match ●Corners9/94.67 corners/match
15.9 fouls/matchFouls9/912.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Oct 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC LensLille
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headRC Lens — Lille
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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