PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

Red Bull Salzburg 0–2 GNK Dinamo Zagreb · UEFA Champions League

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

GNK Dinamo Zagreb won 0–2.

Shots
1118
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
1.171.71
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

GNK Dinamo Zagreb beat Red Bull Salzburg 2–0. Recorded in this match (Red Bull Salzburg – GNK Dinamo Zagreb): shots 11–18, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 1.17–1.71, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Red Bull Salzburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Red Bull Salzburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

12.1 fouls/matchFoulsRed Bull Salzburg · GNK Dinamo Zagreb12.6 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricRed Bull SalzburgGNK Dinamo ZagrebBaseline
Fouls12.1 fouls/match12.6 fouls/match10.6 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Red Bull Salzburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.7% ●PossessionRed Bull Salzburg · GNK Dinamo Zagreb40.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRed Bull SalzburgGNK Dinamo ZagrebBaseline
Possession53.7%40.8%50.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots18 shotsRed Bull Salzburg 11 shots, GNK Dinamo Zagreb 18 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsRed Bull Salzburg 2 shots, GNK Dinamo Zagreb 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.17 xG1.71 xGRed Bull Salzburg 1.17 xG, GNK Dinamo Zagreb 1.71 xG
  • Possession49%51%Red Bull Salzburg 49%, GNK Dinamo Zagreb 51%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersRed Bull Salzburg 7 corners, GNK Dinamo Zagreb 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsRed Bull Salzburg 10 fouls, GNK Dinamo Zagreb 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kévin Théophile-Catherine · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 19′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTakuya Ogiwara · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMaurits Kjaergaard · Red Bull Salzburg · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmar Dedić · Red Bull Salzburg · 21′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMaurits Kjaergaard · Red Bull Salzburg · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedStefan Ristovski · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Torrente · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuka Stojković · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPetar Sučić · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAmar Dedić · Red Bull Salzburg · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKarim Konaté · Red Bull Salzburg · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarko Rog · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetArijan Ademi · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 5′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAmar Dedić · Red Bull Salzburg · 15′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAmar Dedić · Red Bull Salzburg · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArijan Ademi · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 49′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSamson Baidoo · Red Bull Salzburg · 61′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedArijan Ademi · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 35′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarko Rog · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMartin Baturina · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 70′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSandro Kulenović · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 49′ · 0.14 xG · goalSandro Kulenović · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 40′ · 0.15 xG · on targetPetar Sučić · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 66′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedBruno Petković · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 84′ · 0.18 xG · goalKarim Konaté · Red Bull Salzburg · 71′ · 0.21 xG · on targetLuka Stojković · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 90′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedSandro Kulenović · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 35′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedKarim Konaté · Red Bull Salzburg · 6′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedKarim Konaté · Red Bull Salzburg · 79′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Red Bull Salzburg: 11 shots, 2 on target, 1.29 xG. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: 18 shots, 5 on target, 1.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Sandro Kulenović · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 49′Bruno Petković · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Red Bull Salzburg 1.29 xG · GNK Dinamo Zagreb 1.72 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Red Bull Salzburg
1Draws
0GNK Dinamo Zagreb
GNK Dinamo Zagreb — Red Bull Salzburg · UEFA Champions League1–1
Red Bull Salzburg — GNK Dinamo Zagreb · UEFA Champions League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Red Bull Salzburg favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · GNK Dinamo Zagreb in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Red Bull Salzburg7 matchesGNK Dinamo Zagreb5 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/5▲ 2.2 goals/match
2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/52.2 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.13 xG/match
12.6 shots/match ▲Shots7/511.4 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on target7/54.4 shots/match
53.7% ●Possession7/540.8%
4.57 corners/match ●Corners7/53.4 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls7/512.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 23 Oct 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRed Bull SalzburgGNK Dinamo Zagreb
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
Head-to-headRed Bull Salzburg — GNK Dinamo Zagreb
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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