PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

ŠK Slovan Bratislava 1–4 GNK Dinamo Zagreb · UEFA Champions League

1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

GNK Dinamo Zagreb won 1–4.

Shots
1913
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.741.61
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

GNK Dinamo Zagreb beat ŠK Slovan Bratislava 4–1. Recorded in this match (ŠK Slovan Bratislava – GNK Dinamo Zagreb): shots 19–13, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.74–1.61, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

ŠK Slovan Bratislava's recent record differs from the season

moderate

ŠK Slovan Bratislava's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.67 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots13 shotsŠK Slovan Bratislava 19 shots, GNK Dinamo Zagreb 13 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsŠK Slovan Bratislava 7 shots, GNK Dinamo Zagreb 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.74 xG1.61 xGŠK Slovan Bratislava 1.74 xG, GNK Dinamo Zagreb 1.61 xG
  • Possession60%40%ŠK Slovan Bratislava 60%, GNK Dinamo Zagreb 40%
  • Corners11 corners3 cornersŠK Slovan Bratislava 11 corners, GNK Dinamo Zagreb 3 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls13 foulsŠK Slovan Bratislava 6 fouls, GNK Dinamo Zagreb 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Marko Tolić · ŠK Slovan Bratislava · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTigran Barseghyan · ŠK Slovan Bratislava · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarko Tolić · ŠK Slovan Bratislava · 71′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMarko Tolić · ŠK Slovan Bratislava · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDavid Strelec · ŠK Slovan Bratislava · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKyriakos Savvidis · ŠK Slovan Bratislava · 33′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarko Pjaca · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTigran Barseghyan · ŠK Slovan Bratislava · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosip Mišić · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid Strelec · ŠK Slovan Bratislava · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosip Mišić · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDario Špikić · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 10′ · 0.03 xG · goalTigran Barseghyan · ŠK Slovan Bratislava · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTigran Barseghyan · ŠK Slovan Bratislava · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDanylo Ignatenko · ŠK Slovan Bratislava · 49′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNino Marcelli · ŠK Slovan Bratislava · 1′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPetar Sučić · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavid Strelec · ŠK Slovan Bratislava · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNino Marcelli · ŠK Slovan Bratislava · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSandro Kulenović · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 72′ · 0.04 xG · goalRonaël Pierre-Gabriel · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMartin Baturina · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPetar Sučić · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArijan Ademi · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArtur Gajdoš · ŠK Slovan Bratislava · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetSiemen Voet · ŠK Slovan Bratislava · 51′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDario Špikić · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 71′ · 0.09 xG · on targetNino Marcelli · ŠK Slovan Bratislava · 5′ · 0.18 xG · on targetPetar Sučić · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 30′ · 0.34 xG · goalDavid Strelec · ŠK Slovan Bratislava · 35′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blockedSandro Kulenović · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 54′ · 0.68 xG · goalDavid Strelec · ŠK Slovan Bratislava · 5′ · 0.86 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

ŠK Slovan Bratislava: 19 shots, 7 on target, 1.91 xG. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′David Strelec · ŠK Slovan Bratislava · 5′Dario Špikić · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 10′Petar Sučić · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 30′Sandro Kulenović · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 54′Sandro Kulenović · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 72′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: ŠK Slovan Bratislava 1.91 xG · GNK Dinamo Zagreb 1.50 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: ŠK Slovan Bratislava favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · GNK Dinamo Zagreb in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

ŠK Slovan Bratislava12 matchesGNK Dinamo Zagreb6 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored12/6▲ 2.5 goals/match
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/62 goals/match
0.7 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.25 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 11.7 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 4.5 shots/match
41.5% ●Possession6/640.7%
5 corners/match ●Corners6/63.33 corners/match
8.67 fouls/matchFouls6/612.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 5 Nov 2024, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsŠK Slovan BratislavaGNK Dinamo Zagreb
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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