PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024Tue, 5 Nov 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeHistorical match
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBolognaAS Monaco
Shots7 shots/match10 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Expected goals0.46 xG/match0.97 xG/match▲
Possession47%53%●
Corners3 corners/match6 corners/match●
Fouls16 fouls/match14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Wilfried Singo · AS Monaco · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLamine Camara · AS Monaco · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEliesse Ben Seghir · AS Monaco · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSoungoutou Magassa · AS Monaco · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 55′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Golovin · AS Monaco · 35′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSam Beukema · Bologna · 40′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 46′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 71′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBreel Embolo · AS Monaco · 86′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJuan Miranda · Bologna · 9′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 16′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 42′ · 0.14 xG · on targetBreel Embolo · AS Monaco · 15′ · 0.20 xG · on targetThilo Kehrer · AS Monaco · 86′ · 0.37 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.48 xG. AS Monaco: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.98 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Thilo Kehrer · AS Monaco · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 0.48 xG · AS Monaco 0.98 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bologna's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: AS Monaco have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Bologna show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Bologna's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12 shots/match▲ShotsBologna · AS Monaco16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBolognaAS MonacoBaseline
Shots12 shots/match16 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against9.75 shots/match5.75 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

AS Monaco have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.8%PossessionBologna · AS Monaco●60.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBolognaAS MonacoBaseline
Possession47.8%60.3%50.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Bologna favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · AS Monaco in 0 · 13 too close

0 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/42.5 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41 goals/match
0.77 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.92 xG/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/40.72 xG/match
12 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/416 shots/match
9.75 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/45.75 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/46.25 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/42 shots/match
47.8%Possessionseason · 4/4●60.3%
4.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/4●7 corners/match
4.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/42.5 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/415.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%
0%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bologna38.2
AS Monaco90.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bologna14.6
AS Monaco83.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bologna70.8
AS Monaco86.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bologna38.2
AS Monaco46.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bologna64.5
AS Monaco98.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bologna47.4
AS Monaco88.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bologna38.5
AS Monaco86.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Bologna4 matchesAS Monaco4 matches
0 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2.5 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲1 goals/match
0.77 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.92 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots4/4▲16 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲6.25 shots/match
47.8%Possession4/4●60.3%
4.5 corners/matchCorners4/4●7 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.5 fouls/matchFouls4/415.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Bologna2 matchesAS Monaco2 matches
—Goals scored2/2—
—Goals allowed2/2—
—Expected goals2/2—
—Shots2/2—
—Shots on target2/2—
—Possession2/2—
—Corners2/2—
—Cards0/0—
—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.1 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 6 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBolognaAS Monaco
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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