PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

RC Strasbourg 1–3 AS Monaco · Ligue 1

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AS Monaco won 1–3.

Shots
519
Shots on target
28
Expected goals
0.793.89
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

AS Monaco beat RC Strasbourg 3–1. Recorded in this match (RC Strasbourg – AS Monaco): shots 5–19, shots on target 2–8, expected goals 0.79–3.89, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AS Monaco's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AS Monaco's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.64 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RC Strasbourg show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RC Strasbourg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsRC Strasbourg · AS Monaco14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRC StrasbourgAS MonacoBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match14.9 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against13.5 shots/match9.36 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

AS Monaco have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.8%PossessionRC Strasbourg · AS Monaco● 58.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRC StrasbourgAS MonacoBaseline
Possession48.8%58.6%48.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots19 shotsRC Strasbourg 5 shots, AS Monaco 19 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots8 shotsRC Strasbourg 2 shots, AS Monaco 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.79 xG3.89 xGRC Strasbourg 0.79 xG, AS Monaco 3.89 xG
  • Possession42%58%RC Strasbourg 42%, AS Monaco 58%
  • Corners1 corner2 cornersRC Strasbourg 1 corner, AS Monaco 2 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls18 foulsRC Strasbourg 16 fouls, AS Monaco 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 13′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSékou Mara · RC Strasbourg · 15′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGuéla Doué · RC Strasbourg · 29′ · 0.02 xG · goalMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBreel Embolo · AS Monaco · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLamine Camara · AS Monaco · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKrépin Diatta · AS Monaco · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBreel Embolo · AS Monaco · 6′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 46′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Ilenikhena · AS Monaco · 87′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedVanderson · AS Monaco · 41′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedVanderson · AS Monaco · 58′ · 0.11 xG · on targetEliesse Ben Seghir · AS Monaco · 75′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedLamine Camara · AS Monaco · 60′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedEliesse Ben Seghir · AS Monaco · 89′ · 0.17 xG · goalGuéla Doué · RC Strasbourg · 45′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedEliesse Ben Seghir · AS Monaco · 73′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedBreel Embolo · AS Monaco · 40′ · 0.32 xG · on targetGeorge Ilenikhena · AS Monaco · 90′ · 0.35 xG · goalDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 45′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedThilo Kehrer · AS Monaco · 82′ · 0.42 xG · on targetBreel Embolo · AS Monaco · 18′ · 0.59 xG · on targetEliesse Ben Seghir · AS Monaco · 79′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Strasbourg: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.62 xG. AS Monaco: 19 shots, 8 on target, 3.89 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Guéla Doué · RC Strasbourg · 29′Eliesse Ben Seghir · AS Monaco · 79′Eliesse Ben Seghir · AS Monaco · 89′George Ilenikhena · AS Monaco · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Strasbourg 0.62 xG · AS Monaco 3.89 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1RC Strasbourg
0Draws
4AS Monaco
RC Strasbourg — AS Monaco · Ligue 10–1
AS Monaco — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 13–0
AS Monaco — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 14–3
RC Strasbourg — AS Monaco · Ligue 11–2
RC Strasbourg — AS Monaco · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Strasbourg favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · AS Monaco in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Strasbourg11 matchesAS Monaco11 matches
1.82 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.64 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 0.73 goals/match
1.58 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲ 1.95 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 14.9 shots/match
5.45 shots/matchShots on target11/115.18 shots/match
48.8%Possession11/11● 58.6%
4 corners/matchCorners11/11● 5.27 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls11/1113.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Nov 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC StrasbourgAS Monaco
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headRC Strasbourg — AS Monaco
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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