UEFA Champions League · 2024

Celtic 3–1 RB Leipzig · UEFA Champions League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Celtic won 3–1.

Shots
1710
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.791.28
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Celtic beat RB Leipzig 3–1. Recorded in this match (Celtic – RB Leipzig): shots 17–10, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.79–1.28, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.5 corners/match ●CornersCeltic · RB Leipzig5.75 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricCelticRB LeipzigBaseline
Corners6.5 corners/match5.75 corners/match4.54 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots10 shotsCeltic 17 shots, RB Leipzig 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsCeltic 5 shots, RB Leipzig 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.79 xG1.28 xGCeltic 1.79 xG, RB Leipzig 1.28 xG
  • Possession60%40%Celtic 60%, RB Leipzig 40%
  • Corners7 corners8 cornersCeltic 7 corners, RB Leipzig 8 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls13 foulsCeltic 7 fouls, RB Leipzig 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Loïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 7′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCallum McGregor · Celtic · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 64′ · 0.03 xG · on targetReo Hatate · Celtic · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedReo Hatate · Celtic · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolas-Gerrit Kühn · Celtic · 35′ · 0.04 xG · goalReo Hatate · Celtic · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKyogo Furuhashi · Celtic · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 1′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYang Hyun-Jun · Celtic · 86′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArne Engels · Celtic · 1′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedReo Hatate · Celtic · 54′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAuston Trusty · Celtic · 66′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedReo Hatate · Celtic · 66′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKyogo Furuhashi · Celtic · 67′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 71′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAntonio Nusa · RB Leipzig · 31′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAlistair Johnston · Celtic · 44′ · 0.12 xG · on targetNicolas-Gerrit Kühn · Celtic · 50′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedDaizen Maeda · Celtic · 38′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAssan Ouédraogo · RB Leipzig · 78′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedWilli Orbán · RB Leipzig · 26′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedReo Hatate · Celtic · 72′ · 0.30 xG · goalNicolas-Gerrit Kühn · Celtic · 45′ · 0.36 xG · goalChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 23′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celtic: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.82 xG. RB Leipzig: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn · Celtic · 35′Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn · Celtic · 45′Reo Hatate · Celtic · 72′Christoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 23′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celtic 1.82 xG · RB Leipzig 1.30 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Celtic
0Draws
2RB Leipzig
Celtic — RB Leipzig · UEFA Champions League0–2
RB Leipzig — Celtic · UEFA Champions League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celtic favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · RB Leipzig in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celtic4 matchesRB Leipzig4 matches
2.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41 goal/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/42.25 goals/match
1.99 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.53 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 13.5 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/44.75 shots/match
50.5% ●Possession4/444%
6.5 corners/match ●Corners4/45.75 corners/match
9.5 fouls/matchFouls4/49.75 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 6 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

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