PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

Feyenoord 1–3 Red Bull Salzburg · UEFA Champions League

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Red Bull Salzburg won 1–3.

Shots
149
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.771.82
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Red Bull Salzburg beat Feyenoord 3–1. Recorded in this match (Feyenoord – Red Bull Salzburg): shots 14–9, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.77–1.82, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Red Bull Salzburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Red Bull Salzburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots9 shotsFeyenoord 14 shots, Red Bull Salzburg 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsFeyenoord 4 shots, Red Bull Salzburg 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.77 xG1.82 xGFeyenoord 0.77 xG, Red Bull Salzburg 1.82 xG
  • Possession58%42%Feyenoord 58%, Red Bull Salzburg 42%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersFeyenoord 4 corners, Red Bull Salzburg 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls13 foulsFeyenoord 15 fouls, Red Bull Salzburg 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dávid Hancko · Feyenoord · 64′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDávid Hancko · Feyenoord · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIgor Paixão · Feyenoord · 7′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDorgeles Nene · Red Bull Salzburg · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolás Capaldo · Red Bull Salzburg · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolás Capaldo · Red Bull Salzburg · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIgor Paixão · Feyenoord · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGernot Trauner · Feyenoord · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGernot Trauner · Feyenoord · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaouda Guindo · Red Bull Salzburg · 86′ · 0.03 xG · goalMoussa Kounfolo Yeo · Red Bull Salzburg · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChris-Kévin Nadje · Feyenoord · 71′ · 0.06 xG · on targetGernot Trauner · Feyenoord · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBart Nieuwkoop · Feyenoord · 68′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 81′ · 0.07 xG · goalKarim Konaté · Red Bull Salzburg · 58′ · 0.08 xG · goalGernot Trauner · Feyenoord · 73′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOscar Gloukh · Red Bull Salzburg · 51′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedBart Nieuwkoop · Feyenoord · 3′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedIgor Paixão · Feyenoord · 47′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedKarim Konaté · Red Bull Salzburg · 45′ · 0.59 xG · goalKarim Konaté · Red Bull Salzburg · 85′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Feyenoord: 14 shots, 4 on target, 0.79 xG. Red Bull Salzburg: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.74 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Anis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 81′Karim Konaté · Red Bull Salzburg · 45′Karim Konaté · Red Bull Salzburg · 58′Daouda Guindo · Red Bull Salzburg · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Feyenoord 0.79 xG · Red Bull Salzburg 1.74 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Feyenoord favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Red Bull Salzburg in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Feyenoord4 matchesRed Bull Salzburg8 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/81.38 goals/match
2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/8▲ 1.88 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.3 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots4/812.1 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target4/8▲ 4.13 shots/match
45%Possession4/8● 52.3%
3.5 corners/matchCorners4/8● 4.38 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls4/812.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 7 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFeyenoordRed Bull Salzburg
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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