PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

PSV Eindhoven 3–2 Liverpool · UEFA Champions League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

PSV Eindhoven won 3–2.

Shots
129
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.321.61
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

PSV Eindhoven beat Liverpool 3–2. Recorded in this match (PSV Eindhoven – Liverpool): shots 12–9, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.32–1.61, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

PSV Eindhoven's recent record differs from the season

moderate

PSV Eindhoven's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match2 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

PSV Eindhoven have a visible home split

weak

PSV Eindhoven's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

22.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season17.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots22.5 shots/match17.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.9 shots/match ▲ShotsPSV Eindhoven · Liverpool15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenLiverpoolBaseline
Shots17.9 shots/match15.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against13.8 shots/match10.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots9 shotsPSV Eindhoven 12 shots, Liverpool 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsPSV Eindhoven 5 shots, Liverpool 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.32 xG1.61 xGPSV Eindhoven 1.32 xG, Liverpool 1.61 xG
  • Possession53%47%PSV Eindhoven 53%, Liverpool 47%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersPSV Eindhoven 8 corners, Liverpool 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsPSV Eindhoven 11 fouls, Liverpool 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Harvey Elliott · Liverpool · 1′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFederico Chiesa · Liverpool · 5′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTyler Morton · Liverpool · 82′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 3′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArmando Obispo · PSV Eindhoven · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFederico Chiesa · Liverpool · 40′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdamo Nagalo · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJayden Danns · Liverpool · 16′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Babadi · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJarell Quansah · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJarell Quansah · Liverpool · 32′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 45′ · 0.09 xG · goalJoey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 25′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 45′ · 0.21 xG · goalJohan Bakayoko · PSV Eindhoven · 35′ · 0.22 xG · goalIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 74′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Elliott · Liverpool · 40′ · 0.46 xG · goalCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 28′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

PSV Eindhoven: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.29 xG. Liverpool: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.67 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Johan Bakayoko · PSV Eindhoven · 35′Ismael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 45′Ricardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 45′Cody Gakpo · Liverpool · 28′Harvey Elliott · Liverpool · 40′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: PSV Eindhoven 1.29 xG · Liverpool 1.67 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: PSV Eindhoven favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Liverpool in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

PSV Eindhoven8 matchesLiverpool8 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 2.13 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 0.63 goals/match
1.57 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 2.35 xG/match
17.9 shots/match ▲Shots8/815.6 shots/match
7.38 shots/matchShots on target8/87.13 shots/match
55.8% ●Possession8/854.3%
6.13 corners/match ●Corners8/84.88 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls8/810.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 30 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPSV EindhovenLiverpool
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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