PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

Atalanta 1–3 Club Brugge KV · UEFA Champions League

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Club Brugge KV won 1–3.

Shots
307
Shots on target
114
Expected goals
3.281.15
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Club Brugge KV beat Atalanta 3–1. Recorded in this match (Atalanta – Club Brugge KV): shots 30–7, shots on target 11–4, expected goals 3.28–1.15, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Club Brugge KV's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Club Brugge KV's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.2 goals/match1.61 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Club Brugge KV show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Club Brugge KV's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAtalanta · Club Brugge KV10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaClub Brugge KVBaseline
Shots17.4 shots/match10.8 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against8.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Atalanta have a visible home split

moderate

Atalanta's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

21 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season17.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots21 shots/match17.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots30 shots7 shotsAtalanta 30 shots, Club Brugge KV 7 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots4 shotsAtalanta 11 shots, Club Brugge KV 4 shots
  • Expected goals3.28 xG1.15 xGAtalanta 3.28 xG, Club Brugge KV 1.15 xG
  • Possession65%35%Atalanta 65%, Club Brugge KV 35%
  • Corners14 corners0 cornersAtalanta 14 corners, Club Brugge KV 0 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls7 foulsAtalanta 8 fouls, Club Brugge KV 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Davide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 6′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cuadrado · Atalanta · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRaoul Bellanova · Atalanta · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarten de Roon · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRafael Tolói · Atalanta · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaphael Onyedika · Club Brugge KV · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 70′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 46′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBerat Djimsiti · Atalanta · 5′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 15′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 37′ · 0.06 xG · on targetChemsdine Talbi · Club Brugge KV · 3′ · 0.09 xG · goalJuan Cuadrado · Atalanta · 40′ · 0.09 xG · on targetFerran Jutglà · Club Brugge KV · 45′ · 0.09 xG · goalCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 51′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSead Kolašinac · Atalanta · 2′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 72′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cuadrado · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.11 xG · on targetSead Kolašinac · Atalanta · 73′ · 0.13 xG · on targetDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.14 xG · on targetFerran Jutglà · Club Brugge KV · 44′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 64′ · 0.17 xG · on targetAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 64′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.20 xG · on targetAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 46′ · 0.22 xG · goalChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 27′ · 0.40 xG · on targetChemsdine Talbi · Club Brugge KV · 27′ · 0.53 xG · goalMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.55 xG · on targetAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 61′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atalanta: 30 shots, 11 on target, 3.39 xG. Club Brugge KV: 7 shots, 4 on target, 1.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Ademola Lookman · Atalanta · 46′Chemsdine Talbi · Club Brugge KV · 3′Chemsdine Talbi · Club Brugge KV · 27′Ferran Jutglà · Club Brugge KV · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 3.39 xG · Club Brugge KV 1.32 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atalanta
0Draws
1Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV — Atalanta · UEFA Champions League2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Club Brugge KV in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta10 matchesClub Brugge KV10 matches
2.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.1 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
2.56 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/101.05 xG/match
17.4 shots/match ▲Shots10/1010.8 shots/match
6.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/104.1 shots/match
53.3% ●Possession10/1042.3%
6.5 corners/match ●Corners10/103.1 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls10/108.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 19 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtalantaClub Brugge KV
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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