Toulouse and Paris Saint-Germain drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Toulouse – Paris Saint-Germain): shots 8–16, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 1.22–2.16, possession 24%–76%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
This match
Match statistics
ToulouseParis Saint-Germain
Shots8 shots16 shotsToulouse 8 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 16 shots
Shots on target2 shots3 shotsToulouse 2 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 3 shots
Expected goals1.22 xG2.16 xGToulouse 1.22 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 2.16 xG
Possession24%76%Toulouse 24%, Paris Saint-Germain 76%
Corners5 corners5 cornersToulouse 5 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 5 corners
Fouls8 fouls11 foulsToulouse 8 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 11 fouls
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
Paris Saint-Germain← attackingattacking →Toulouse
off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG
Toulouse: 8 shots, 2 on target, 1.26 xG. Paris Saint-Germain: 16 shots, 3 on target, 2.18 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
Toulouse1.26 xGParis Saint-Germain2.18 xG
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Toulouse 1.26 xG · Paris Saint-Germain 2.18 xG.
▲ led this metric● higher value (descriptive) too close
Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
6.25 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
Toulouse / Paris Saint-Germain
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Aug 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4