Ligue 1 · 2023Sun, 13 Aug 2023, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Nantes

1–2Full-time recap

Toulouse

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Nantes	Toulouse
Shots	9 shots/match	9 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.06 xG/match	1.22 xG/match▲
Possession	44%	56%●
Corners	7 corners/match●	5 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Nantes: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.10 xG. Toulouse: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.20 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nantes 1.10 xG · Toulouse 1.20 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Nantes

1Draws

0Toulouse

14 May 2023Toulouse — Nantes · Ligue 10–0

28 Aug 2022Nantes — Toulouse · Ligue 13–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable

Season samples1 / 1home / away teams

Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Aug 2023, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4