Ligue 1 · 2023Sat, 19 Aug 2023, 17:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
14Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOlympique LyonnaisMontpellier
Shots7 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match8 shots/match
Expected goals0.36 xG/match2.92 xG/match
Possession64%36%
Corners6 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls20 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Saël Kumbedi · Olympique Lyonnais · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedWahbi Khazri · Montpellier · 77′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJoris Chotard · Montpellier · 4′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMousa Tamari · Montpellier · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTeji Savanier · Montpellier · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Nordin · Montpellier · 16′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJeffinho · Olympique Lyonnais · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTeji Savanier · Montpellier · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRayan Cherki · Olympique Lyonnais · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRayan Cherki · Olympique Lyonnais · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBoubakar Kouyaté · Montpellier · 26′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAkor Adams · Montpellier · 41′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 69′ · 0.08 xG · goalAmin Sarr · Olympique Lyonnais · 79′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 66′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMousa Tamari · Montpellier · 56′ · 0.33 xG · on targetMousa Tamari · Montpellier · 39′ · 0.34 xG · goalMousa Tamari · Montpellier · 66′ · 0.39 xG · goalArnaud Nordin · Montpellier · 20′ · 0.47 xG · goalAkor Adams · Montpellier · 78′ · 0.48 xG · off target or blockedAkor Adams · Montpellier · 89′ · 0.67 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Olympique Lyonnais: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.36 xG. Montpellier: 14 shots, 8 on target, 2.95 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Alexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 69′Arnaud Nordin · Montpellier · 20′Mousa Tamari · Montpellier · 39′Mousa Tamari · Montpellier · 66′Akor Adams · Montpellier · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Olympique Lyonnais 0.36 xG · Montpellier 2.95 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4Olympique Lyonnais
0Draws
0Montpellier
Olympique LyonnaisMontpellier · Ligue 154
MontpellierOlympique Lyonnais · Ligue 112
Olympique LyonnaisMontpellier · Ligue 152
MontpellierOlympique Lyonnais · Ligue 101

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Olympique Lyonnais favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Montpellier in 0 · 13 too close

Goals scoredseason · 2/2
Goals allowedseason · 2/2
Expected goalsseason · 2/2
Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2
Shotsseason · 2/2
Shots allowedseason · 2/2
Shots on targetseason · 2/2
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/2
Possessionseason · 2/2
Cornersseason · 2/2
Corners allowedseason · 2/2
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/2
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 2/2
Scoring frequencyseason · 2/2

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Olympique Lyonnais
Montpellier
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Olympique Lyonnais
Montpellier
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Olympique Lyonnais
Montpellier
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Olympique Lyonnais
Montpellier
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Olympique Lyonnais
Montpellier
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Olympique Lyonnais
Montpellier
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Olympique Lyonnais
Montpellier
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Olympique Lyonnais2 matchesMontpellier2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Olympique Lyonnais1 matchesMontpellier1 matches
Goals scored1/1
Goals allowed1/1
Expected goals1/1
Shots1/1
Shots on target1/1
Possession1/1
Corners1/1
Cards0/0
Fouls1/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.93 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Aug 2023, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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