Ligue 1 · 2023

Paris Saint-Germain 2–3 Nice · Ligue 1

2–3Historical match

Nice

DDDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nice won 2–3.

Shots
1214
Shots on target
38
Expected goals
0.951.3
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nice beat Paris Saint-Germain 3–2. Recorded in this match (Paris Saint-Germain – Nice): shots 12–14, shots on target 3–8, expected goals 0.95–1.3, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

71.6% ●PossessionParis Saint-Germain · Nice50.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainNiceBaseline
Possession71.6%50.6%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5 corners/matchCornersParis Saint-Germain · Nice● 5.4 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainNiceBaseline
Corners5 corners/match5.4 corners/match4.5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots14 shotsParis Saint-Germain 12 shots, Nice 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots8 shotsParis Saint-Germain 3 shots, Nice 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.95 xG1.3 xGParis Saint-Germain 0.95 xG, Nice 1.3 xG
  • Possession69%31%Paris Saint-Germain 69%, Nice 31%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersParis Saint-Germain 4 corners, Nice 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls17 foulsParis Saint-Germain 8 fouls, Nice 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sofiane Diop · Nice · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTerem Moffi · Nice · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Sanson · Nice · 5′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGaëtan Laborde · Nice · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJérémie Boga · Nice · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 61′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKhéphren Thuram · Nice · 26′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 42′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTerem Moffi · Nice · 68′ · 0.06 xG · goalTerem Moffi · Nice · 11′ · 0.07 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 18′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 29′ · 0.08 xG · goalJordan Lotomba · Nice · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 87′ · 0.08 xG · goalEvann Guessand · Nice · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetCarlos Soler · Paris Saint-Germain · 52′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJean-Clair Todibo · Nice · 20′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 28′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 37′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 38′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedSofiane Diop · Nice · 55′ · 0.18 xG · on targetTerem Moffi · Nice · 21′ · 0.23 xG · goalGaëtan Laborde · Nice · 53′ · 0.34 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris Saint-Germain: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.94 xG. Nice: 14 shots, 8 on target, 1.34 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Kylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 29′Kylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 87′Terem Moffi · Nice · 21′Gaëtan Laborde · Nice · 53′Terem Moffi · Nice · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint-Germain 0.94 xG · Nice 1.34 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Paris Saint-Germain
1Draws
1Nice
Nice — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 10–2
Paris Saint-Germain — Nice · Ligue 12–1
Nice — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–0
Paris Saint-Germain — Nice · Ligue 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris Saint-Germain favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Nice in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain5 matchesNice5 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 0.8 goals/match
2.09 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.68 xG/match
17.4 shots/match ▲Shots5/516 shots/match
5.25 shots/matchShots on target4/5▲ 5.8 shots/match
71.6% ●Possession5/550.6%
5 corners/matchCorners5/5● 5.4 corners/match
8 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 15 Sept 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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