PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Paris Saint-Germain 3–0 Montpellier · Ligue 1

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 3–0.

Shots
217
Shots on target
102
Expected goals
1.160.47
Possession
71%29%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain beat Montpellier 3–0. Recorded in this match (Paris Saint-Germain – Montpellier): shots 21–7, shots on target 10–2, expected goals 1.16–0.47, possession 71%–29%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

69.5% ●PossessionParis Saint-Germain · Montpellier43.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 25.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainMontpellierBaseline
Possession69.5%43.7%50.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Paris Saint-Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.9 shots/match ▲ShotsParis Saint-Germain · Montpellier12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainMontpellierBaseline
Shots16.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match14.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Montpellier's recent record differs from the season

weak

Montpellier's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots7 shotsParis Saint-Germain 21 shots, Montpellier 7 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots2 shotsParis Saint-Germain 10 shots, Montpellier 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.16 xG0.47 xGParis Saint-Germain 1.16 xG, Montpellier 0.47 xG
  • Possession71%29%Paris Saint-Germain 71%, Montpellier 29%
  • Corners9 corners2 cornersParis Saint-Germain 9 corners, Montpellier 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsParis Saint-Germain 10 fouls, Montpellier 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAkor Adams · Montpellier · 34′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 50′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJoris Chotard · Montpellier · 52′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRandal Kolo Muani · Paris Saint-Germain · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 31′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTeji Savanier · Montpellier · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 81′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBoubakar Kouyaté · Montpellier · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTeji Savanier · Montpellier · 77′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint-Germain · 58′ · 0.09 xG · goalKhalil Fayad · Montpellier · 25′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 26′ · 0.10 xG · on targetWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint-Germain · 49′ · 0.10 xG · on targetOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 15′ · 0.11 xG · on targetKang-in Lee · Paris Saint-Germain · 10′ · 0.12 xG · goalVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 66′ · 0.15 xG · goalTeji Savanier · Montpellier · 2′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris Saint-Germain: 21 shots, 9 on target, 1.15 xG. Montpellier: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Kang-in Lee · Paris Saint-Germain · 10′Warren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint-Germain · 58′Vitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint-Germain 1.15 xG · Montpellier 0.46 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Paris Saint-Germain
0Draws
0Montpellier
Montpellier — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–3
Paris Saint-Germain — Montpellier · Ligue 15–2
Montpellier — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 10–4
Paris Saint-Germain — Montpellier · Ligue 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris Saint-Germain favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Montpellier in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain11 matchesMontpellier10 matches
2.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/101.5 goals/match
0.82 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/101.4 goals/match
2.21 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/101.53 xG/match
16.9 shots/match ▲Shots11/1012.9 shots/match
6.7 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/105 shots/match
69.5% ●Possession11/1043.7%
5.82 corners/match ●Corners11/103.4 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls11/1011.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis Saint-GermainMontpellier
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headParis Saint-Germain — Montpellier
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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