Ligue 1 · 2023

Nice 2–0 RC Lens · Ligue 1

Nice

DWLWL
2–0Historical match

RC Lens

WWWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nice won 2–0.

Shots
1410
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
2.520.51
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nice beat RC Lens 2–0. Recorded in this match (Nice – RC Lens): shots 14–10, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 2.52–0.51, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RC Lens's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RC Lens's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.24 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for RC Lens.

4.17 days ▲Rest daysNice · RC Lens4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNiceRC LensBaseline
Rest days4.17 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots10 shotsNice 14 shots, RC Lens 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsNice 5 shots, RC Lens 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.52 xG0.51 xGNice 2.52 xG, RC Lens 0.51 xG
  • Possession41%59%Nice 41%, RC Lens 59%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersNice 5 corners, RC Lens 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsNice 14 fouls, RC Lens 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Przemysław Frankowski · RC Lens · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · RC Lens · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNeil El Aynaoui · RC Lens · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEvann Guessand · Nice · 31′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGaëtan Laborde · Nice · 51′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMorgan Guilavogui · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHicham Boudaoui · Nice · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGaëtan Laborde · Nice · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDante · Nice · 10′ · 0.07 xG · on targetHicham Boudaoui · Nice · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Medina · RC Lens · 47′ · 0.07 xG · on targetEvann Guessand · Nice · 59′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGaëtan Laborde · Nice · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDavid Pereira Da Costa · RC Lens · 57′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPablo Rosario · Nice · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDavid Pereira Da Costa · RC Lens · 47′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedHicham Boudaoui · Nice · 58′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · RC Lens · 13′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMelvin Bard · Nice · 19′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedEvann Guessand · Nice · 90′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedTerem Moffi · Nice · 78′ · 0.67 xG · goalTerem Moffi · Nice · 76′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nice: 14 shots, 5 on target, 2.58 xG. RC Lens: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Terem Moffi · Nice · 76′Terem Moffi · Nice · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nice 2.58 xG · RC Lens 0.54 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Nice
1Draws
1RC Lens
RC Lens — Nice · Ligue 10–1
Nice — RC Lens · Ligue 10–0
RC Lens — Nice · Ligue 13–0
Nice — RC Lens · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nice favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · RC Lens in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nice17 matchesRC Lens17 matches
1.12 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.24 goals/match
0.53 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171 goal/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals17/171.45 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots17/1713.9 shots/match
4.71 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 5.06 shots/match
52.9%Possession17/17● 53.5%
5.12 corners/matchCorners17/17● 5.35 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls17/1713.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 21 Dec 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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