Ligue 1 · 2023Sun, 14 Jan 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Nantes

DWLLL

1–2Full-time recap

Clermont Foot

DLDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Nantes	Clermont Foot
Shots	21 shots/match▲	15 shots/match
Shots on target	10 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Expected goals	1.95 xG/match▲	1.05 xG/match
Possession	52%●	48%
Corners	11 corners/match●	5 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	5 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Nantes: 21 shots, 10 on target, 1.97 xG. Clermont Foot: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.09 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nantes 1.97 xG · Clermont Foot 1.09 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Nantes's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Nantes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Nantes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nantes's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	1.11 goals/match	1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Nantes show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Nantes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match▲ShotsNantes · Clermont Foot12.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Nantes	Clermont Foot	Baseline
Shots	12.7 shots/match	12.3 shots/match	12.9 shots/match
Shots against	13.5 shots/match	15.4 shots/match	12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Nantes

2Draws

0Clermont Foot

17 Sept 2023Clermont Foot — Nantes · Ligue 10–1

29 Jan 2023Clermont Foot — Nantes · Ligue 10–0

30 Oct 2022Nantes — Clermont Foot · Ligue 11–1

3 Apr 2022Clermont Foot — Nantes · Ligue 12–3

23 Oct 2021Nantes — Clermont Foot · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Nantes favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Clermont Foot in 2 · 5 too close

1.11 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 18/180.72 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 18/18▲1.5 goals/match

1.24 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 18/181.01 xG/match

1.72 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 18/181.73 xG/match

12.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 18/1812.3 shots/match

13.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 18/1815.4 shots/match

4.17 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 18/183.83 shots/match

5.78 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 18/186.44 shots/match

47.6%Possessionseason · 18/18●50.4%

5.39 corners/match●Cornersseason · 18/184.56 corners/match

5.11 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 18/18▲4.5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 18/1812.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 18/1822%

67%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 18/1850%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Nantes30.6

Clermont Foot41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Nantes42.6

Clermont Foot21.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Nantes20.4

Clermont Foot15.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Nantes69.4

Clermont Foot36.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Nantes44.4

Clermont Foot44.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Nantes80.6

Clermont Foot36.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Nantes51.4

Clermont Foot35.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Nantes18 matchesClermont Foot18 matches

1.11 goals/match▲Goals scored18/180.72 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲1.5 goals/match

1.24 xG/match▲Expected goals18/181.01 xG/match

12.7 shots/matchShots18/1812.3 shots/match

4.17 shots/match▲Shots on target18/183.83 shots/match

47.6%Possession18/18●50.4%

5.39 corners/match●Corners18/184.56 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Nantes10 matchesClermont Foot9 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/91 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/91.56 goals/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goals10/90.83 xG/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shots10/910.4 shots/match

4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/93.11 shots/match

46.8%Possession10/9●50.7%

5.8 corners/match●Corners10/94.22 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.8 fouls/matchFouls10/911.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

24.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/124.8 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples18 / 18home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Jan 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4