PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Olympique de Marseille 1–1 Metz · Ligue 1

1–1Historical match

Metz

LLLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique de Marseille and Metz drew 1–1.

Shots
187
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.780.84
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Olympique de Marseille and Metz drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Olympique de Marseille – Metz): shots 18–7, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.78–0.84, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Metz's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Metz's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metz have a visible away split

moderate

Metz's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.36 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.19 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.36 shots/match9.19 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metz show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Metz's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsOlympique de Marseille · Metz9.19 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOlympique de MarseilleMetzBaseline
Shots14 shots/match9.19 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match14.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots7 shotsOlympique de Marseille 18 shots, Metz 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsOlympique de Marseille 6 shots, Metz 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.78 xG0.84 xGOlympique de Marseille 1.78 xG, Metz 0.84 xG
  • Possession66%34%Olympique de Marseille 66%, Metz 34%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersOlympique de Marseille 6 corners, Metz 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls16 foulsOlympique de Marseille 12 fouls, Metz 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Quentin Merlin · Olympique de Marseille · 6′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChristophe Herelle · Metz · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJean Onana · Olympique de Marseille · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 56′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGeorges Mikautadze · Metz · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Gigot · Olympique de Marseille · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJean Onana · Olympique de Marseille · 51′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIliman Ndiaye · Olympique de Marseille · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 22′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIliman Ndiaye · Olympique de Marseille · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKevin Van Den Kerkhof · Metz · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAzzedine Ounahi · Olympique de Marseille · 25′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Metz · 32′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Metz · 55′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLeonardo Balerdi · Olympique de Marseille · 65′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 9′ · 0.10 xG · on targetPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 83′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedUlisses Garcia · Olympique de Marseille · 72′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 45′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAzzedine Ounahi · Olympique de Marseille · 10′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMatthieu Udol · Metz · 61′ · 0.15 xG · goalFaris Pemi Moumbagna · Olympique de Marseille · 77′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedFaris Pemi Moumbagna · Olympique de Marseille · 56′ · 0.25 xG · goalAzzedine Ounahi · Olympique de Marseille · 42′ · 0.29 xG · on targetGeorges Mikautadze · Metz · 51′ · 0.46 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Olympique de Marseille: 18 shots, 6 on target, 1.75 xG. Metz: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.85 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Faris Pemi Moumbagna · Olympique de Marseille · 56′Matthieu Udol · Metz · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Olympique de Marseille 1.75 xG · Metz 0.85 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Olympique de Marseille
2Draws
0Metz
Metz — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 12–2
Metz — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–2
Olympique de Marseille — Metz · Ligue 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique de Marseille favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Metz in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique de Marseille21 matchesMetz21 matches
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/210.86 goals/match
1.1 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/211.52 goals/match
1.63 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/210.79 xG/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots21/219.19 shots/match
4.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/213.24 shots/match
53.6% ●Possession21/2135%
5.86 corners/match ●Corners21/213.9 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls21/2112.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Feb 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique de MarseilleMetz
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headOlympique de Marseille — Metz
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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