PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Montpellier 2–2 RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Montpellier and RC Strasbourg drew 2–2.

Shots
2112
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.761.69
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Montpellier and RC Strasbourg drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Montpellier – RC Strasbourg): shots 21–12, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.76–1.69, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Montpellier's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Montpellier's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Montpellier have a visible home split

moderate

Montpellier's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.1 shots/match14 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots12 shotsMontpellier 21 shots, RC Strasbourg 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsMontpellier 6 shots, RC Strasbourg 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.76 xG1.69 xGMontpellier 1.76 xG, RC Strasbourg 1.69 xG
  • Possession60%40%Montpellier 60%, RC Strasbourg 40%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersMontpellier 8 corners, RC Strasbourg 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls17 foulsMontpellier 12 fouls, RC Strasbourg 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Montpellier
2Draws
2RC Strasbourg
RC Strasbourg — Montpellier · Ligue 12–2
RC Strasbourg — Montpellier · Ligue 12–0
Montpellier — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–1
RC Strasbourg — Montpellier · Ligue 13–1
Montpellier — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Montpellier favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Montpellier24 matchesRC Strasbourg24 matches
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241.04 goals/match
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.54 goals/match
1.37 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/241.22 xG/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots24/2411.1 shots/match
5.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/243.58 shots/match
44.7% ●Possession24/2442.9%
4.21 corners/match ●Corners24/243.42 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls24/2414.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Mar 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMontpellierRC Strasbourg
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headMontpellier — RC Strasbourg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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