PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Stade Brestois 1–0 Le Havre · Ligue 1

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Brestois won 1–0.

Shots
911
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
0.970.59
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Brestois beat Le Havre 1–0. Recorded in this match (Stade Brestois – Le Havre): shots 9–11, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 0.97–0.59, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Le Havre have a visible away split

moderate

Le Havre's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.08 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.08 shots/match11 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Le Havre show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Le Havre's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsStade Brestois · Le Havre11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStade BrestoisLe HavreBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match11 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match14 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots11 shotsStade Brestois 9 shots, Le Havre 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsStade Brestois 4 shots, Le Havre 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.97 xG0.59 xGStade Brestois 0.97 xG, Le Havre 0.59 xG
  • Possession61%39%Stade Brestois 61%, Le Havre 39%
  • Corners0 corners2 cornersStade Brestois 0 corners, Le Havre 2 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls15 foulsStade Brestois 21 fouls, Le Havre 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Abdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 18′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJosué Casimir · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOualid El Hajjam · Le Havre · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndré Ayew · Le Havre · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMathias Pereira Lage · Stade Brestois · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Operi · Le Havre · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBradley Locko · Stade Brestois · 89′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAdrien Lebeau · Stade Brestois · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMathias Pereira Lage · Stade Brestois · 20′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Sabbi · Le Havre · 74′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOualid El Hajjam · Le Havre · 53′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMathias Pereira Lage · Stade Brestois · 56′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJonas Martin · Stade Brestois · 77′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedPierre Lees Melou · Stade Brestois · 34′ · 0.21 xG · goalMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 51′ · 0.29 xG · on targetAndré Ayew · Le Havre · 9′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Brestois: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.94 xG. Le Havre: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Pierre Lees Melou · Stade Brestois · 34′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Brestois 0.94 xG · Le Havre 0.60 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Stade Brestois
0Draws
0Le Havre
Le Havre — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Brestois favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Le Havre in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Brestois24 matchesLe Havre24 matches
1.46 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241 goal/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.29 goals/match
1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/241.07 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots24/2411 shots/match
5.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/243.5 shots/match
53.1% ●Possession24/2443.9%
4.42 corners/match ●Corners24/243.71 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls24/2413.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Mar 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade BrestoisLe Havre
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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